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Blue Jays vs Twins Prediction 4/10/26 MLB Picks Today

Minnesota Twins (7-6) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (5-7)
April 10, 2026 7:07 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Blue Jays -143 / Minnesota Twins 119; Over/Under: 9
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Twins prediction for this MLB game on Friday, April 10th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 5-7 this year after they lost two out of three against the Dodgers by scores of 2-14, 1-4, and 4-3. In their game three win, Toronto trailed 3-1 in the seventh inning, but they scored the last three runs to escape with the victory. The Blue Jays recorded eight hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Springer, Varsho, and Sanchez, who all had one RBI. Cease allowed four hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings for the no decision, while Rogers got the win and Hoffman picked up the save. Prior to that series, Toronto lost all three against the White Sox and two out of three against the Rockies. 

This season, Toronto has a 4.43 ERA with a 1.35 WHIP and a .245 opponent batting average, while they have scored 41 runs with a .228 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Andres Gimenez has led the Blue Jays with two home runs and eight RBIs, while Jesus Sanchez has added one home run and five RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Patrick Corbin, who is making his first appearance of the year. 

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 7-6 this season after they swept the Tigers in four games by scores of 7-3, 4-2, 8-6, and 3-1. In their game four win, Minnesota allowed the tying run in the seventh inning, but they scored twice in the eighth for the victory. The Twins recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Lee, who went 1-1 with two RBIs. Abel allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings in the no decision, while Acton got the win and Orze picked up the save. Prior to that series, Minnesota lost two out of three against the Rays and two out of three against the Royals. 

This season, Minnesota has a 3.87 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while they have scored 60 runs with a .226 batting average and a .329 on base percentage. Josh Bell has led the Twins with three home runs and 10 RBIs, while Tristan Gray has added one home run and eight RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Simeon Woods Richardson, who is 0-1 with a 2.31 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 11.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

  • The Blue Jays have won each of their last 11 home games against American League opponents following a home win.
  • The Twins have lost seven of their last eight games against AL East opponents following a win.
  • The Blue Jays have covered the run line each of their last nine night games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against AL East opponents following a home win.
  • The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in 10 of their last 12 home games against American League opponents.
  • The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight road games against American League opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

  • The Blue Jays have lost each of their last six games as favorites against the Twins following a win.
  • The Twins have won seven of their last eight games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a home win.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games against the Twins following a win.
  • The Twins have covered the run line each of their last eight Friday games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Twins have won the first inning in five of their last six games at Rogers Centre against opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games.
  • The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four home games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the last six games between the Twins and Blue Jays have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Eleven of the Twins’ last 12 games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last seven road games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the last eight games between the Twins and Blue Jays.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Blue Jays’ last four night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ernie Clement has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 14 night games.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Josh Bell has hit a home run in each of the Twins’ last two road games.
  • Byron Buxton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.

Blue Jays vs Twins Prediction 

Minnesota comes into this matchup after sweeping the Tigers in four games and they scored 22 runs during that series. The Twins are 2-4 on the road this year, while the Blue Jays are 5-4 at home. Toronto snapped their losing streak with a win over the Dodgers on Wednesday, but they have scored three runs or fewer in four of their last five. The Jays are starting Corbin, who can be very inconsistent, but I think this is a great matchup for him. Take Toronto to get the win. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Blue Jays ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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