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Blue Jays vs Twins Prediction 8/25/25 MLB Picks Today

Minnesota Twins (59-71) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (76-55)
August 25, 2025 7:07 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Blue Jays -143 / Minnesota Twins 118; Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Twins prediction for this MLB game on Monday, August 25th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 76-55 this year after they won two out of three against Miami by scores of 5-2, 7-6, and 3-5. In their game three loss, Toronto cut the deficit to 4-3 in the seventh inning, but couldn’t find anymore offense for the loss. The Blue Jays recorded four hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Varsho, who went 1-4 with one home run and three RBIs in the loss. Toronto started Gausman, who allowed seven hits and four earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Rodriguez allowed one earned run in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Blue Jays lost two out of three against the Pirates, but did win two out of three against the Rangers before that. Toronto has won three of their last five games and they are currently first in the AL East standings. The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.20 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 640 runs with a .266 batting average and a .336 on base percentage this season. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has led Toronto with 21 home runs and 69 RBIs, while George Springer has added 22 home runs and 64 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Max Scherzer, who is 4-2 with a 3.60 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP over 60.0 innings pitched this year. 

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 59-71 this season after they lost two out of three against the White Sox by scores of 9-7, 3-7, and 0-8. In their game three loss, Minnesota fell behind right away in the first inning and never had a chance in the shutout loss. The Twins recorded five hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Keaschall, who went 1-3 with one walk in the game. Minnesota started Bradley, who allowed nine hits and seven earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Ohl finished the game. 

Prior to that series, the Twins lost all three against the Athletics and three out of four against the Tigers. Minnesota has lost eight of their last ten games and they are currently fourth in the AL Central. The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.35 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .255 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 537 runs with a .237 batting average and a .310 on base percentage this season. Byron Buxton has led Minnesota with 25 home runs and 62 RBIs, while Trevor Larnach has added 16 home runs and 51 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Joe Ryan, who is 12-6 with a 2.77 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP over 143.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Blue Jays will beat the Twins

  • The Blue Jays have won nine of their last 10 games at Rogers Centre following a loss.
  • The Twins have lost six of their last seven night games against American League opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have covered the run line in eight of their last nine home games against American League opponents following a loss.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Monday road games against AL East opponents.
  • The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven road games.
  • The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Blue Jays’ last four games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Twins’ last six night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last nine Monday night games against American League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Twins’ last seven games as road underdogs.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • George Springer has hit a home run in four of the Blue Jays’ last six games as favorites.
  • Max Scherzer has recorded seven or more strikeouts in five of his last six home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Myles Straw has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Max Scherzer has recorded a win in seven of his last eight home appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Bo Bichette has recorded a Double in three of the Blue Jays’ last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Bo Bichette ranks 1st in the league in Hits (164) this season.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Trevor Larnach has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Joe Ryan has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 12 appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Christian Vazquez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven road appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Joe Ryan has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Joe Ryan ranks T6th in the league for Wins (12) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1191).
  • The Blue Jays rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.266).
  • The Twins rank 3rd in the league for walks allowed this season (358).
  • The Twins rank 25th in the league for hits this season (1032).

Blue Jays vs Twins Prediction 

Minnesota comes into this matchup after picking up another series loss, as they continue to limp to the finish line this year. The Twins are 26-40 on the road this season, while the Blue Jays are 42-21 at home. Toronto is holding a healthy lead in the AL East and they are starting Scherzer, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts. Minnesota is going with Ryan, who has allowed 5, 1, 1, and 2 earned runs in his last four. I don’t believe in this Minnesota lineup, so give me the Jays here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Blue Jays ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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