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Boston Red Sox vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 5-25-24 Picks

Milwaukee Brewers (29-21) vs. Boston Red Sox (26-25)
May 25, 2024 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Red Sox -132 / Milwaukee Brewers +111; Over/Under: +9.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Milwaukee Brewers and the Boston Red Sox meet Saturday in MLB action from Fenway Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Boston Red Sox vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Milwaukee Brewers will send out Colin Rea here and Rea is 3-2 with a 4.07 ERA and 35 strikeouts this season. This will be Rea’s first career start against Boston. The Boston Red Sox will trot out Nick Pivetta for the start here and he is 2-2 with a 3.04 ERA and 30 strikeouts this season. In his career, Pivetta is 1-2 with a 9.19 ERA and 16 strikeouts against the Brewers.

Milwaukee Brewers Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers come into this one looking to build on a 7-2 series opening win over Boston from Friday. The win was a welcome sight for the Brew Crew, who had been reeling after back-to-back series losses to the Marlins and Astros in the last week.

Brewers Having Consistency Issues Offensively

William Contreras leads the Brewers with 67 hits including 14 doubles and 42 RBIs along with 8 home runs and a .412 OBP while Rhys Hoskins has a team-high 9 home runs with 27 RBIs and Willy Adames has a team-high 15 doubles with 7 home runs and 32 RBIs. Brice Turang leads the Brewers with 18 stolen bases while Adames has a team-high 46 strikeouts as well this season.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

  • The road team has won each of the Red Sox’s last five games.
  • The Red Sox have lost four of their last five games at Fenway Park.
  • The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games at Fenway Park.
  • The road team has covered the run line in seven of the last eight games between the Brewers and Red Sox.
  • The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games.

Boston Red Sox Recap

The Boston Red Sox come into this one looking for a bounce back performance after their loss to the Brewers to start the series on the wrong foot after sweeping the Tampa Bay Rays to start the week.

Red Sox Picking It Up At The Plate Despite Loss On Friday

Jarren Duran leads the Red Sox with 58 hits along with 11 stolen bases, 15 doubles, 8 triples and 50 strikeouts and also has 21 RBIs so far this season. Tyler O’Neill has a team-high 11 home runs and Triston Casas has 6 homers with 10 RBIs as well while Wilyer Abreu has 12 doubles. Ceddanne Rafaela also has a team-leading 26 RBIs while Rafael Devers has 41 hits with 10 doubles, 10 home runs, 23 RBIs and a .270 batting average this season.

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

  • The Red Sox have won eight of their last nine day games following a loss.
  • The Brewers have lost each of their last five road games following a win.
  • The Red Sox have covered the run line in eight of their last nine day games following a loss.
  • The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four road games against American League opponents following a win.
  • The Brewers have lost the first inning in each of their last six Saturday games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in each of their last five day games against NL Central opponents.
  • The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in each of their last five day games against NL Central opponents.

Boston Red Sox vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

I’m on the Red Sox here. I just don’t trust Colin Rea as far as I can throw him and I don’t view him as a consistent starting option in a major league rotation. The Red Sox in my eyes are in a better position here as Pivetta’s been really solid with strikeouts and keeping walks down this season and I think Boston finds a way to get revenge on Saturday. Give me the Red Sox in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Boston -132

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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