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Boston Red Sox vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 5-26-24 Picks

Milwaukee Brewers (30-21) vs. Boston Red Sox (26-26)
May 26, 2024 1:35 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Red Sox -140 / Milwaukee Brewers +120; Over/Under: +9.5
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In this article we will formulate a Boston Red Sox vs Milwaukee Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 26th at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series. 

Red Sox Need Better Pitching 

The Boston Red Sox are 26-26 this season and they have won four of their last six games. Boston has dropped the first two games in this series and they have allowed 13 runs in the process. Prior to this series, the Red Sox swept the Rays in three games, lost two out of three against the Cardinals, and lost three out of four against the Rays. Boston is just 4-6 in their last ten games and they are third in the AL East behind the Yankees and Orioles. 

The Boston pitching staff has a 3.13 ERA, a 1.16 WHIP, and a .230 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense has scored 230 runs with a .242 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Rafael Devers is batting .276 with 10 home runs and 23 RBI’s for the Red Sox this season. Boston is third in the MLB in team ERA, but they have allowed 18 runs in their last three games. 

Brewers Try to Stay Hot Offensively 

The Milwaukee Brewers are 30-21 this year and they have won three of their last four games. Milwaukee has won the first two games in the series by scores of 7-2 and 6-3. Prior to this series, the Brewers lost two out of three against Miami, lost two out of three against Houston, and won two out of three against Pittsburgh. Milwaukee is just 6-6 in their last 12 games, but they continue to lead the NL Central over the Cubs. 

The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.91 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP, and a .246 opponent batting average. The Brewers offense has scored 257 runs with a .256 batting average and a .333 on base percentage. Willy Adames is batting .244 with seven home runs and 32 RBI’s for the Brewers this season. Milwaukee is sixth in the MLB in runs scored this year and they have scored at least four runs in nine of their last eleven games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Tanner Houck, who is 4-5 with a 1.94 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP over 65.0 innings pitched this year. Houck has allowed three earned runs or fewer in five straight starts and has allowed just one earned run in his last two starts (12.2 IP). The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Tobias Myers, who is 1-2 with a 5.00 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over 18.0 innings pitched this season. Myers has allowed ten earned runs and 15 hits in his last four starts (17.0 IP). 

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

The Red Sox have won each of their last nine Sunday games.
The Brewers have lost five of their last six road games following a win.
The Red Sox have covered the run line each of their last seven Sunday day games against teams that held a winning record.
The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five road games against American League opponents following a win.
The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in each of their last nine Sunday games.

Total Runs Facts

Seven of the Red Sox’s last eight home games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Seven of the Brewers’ last nine day games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last seven home games against National League opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last three games at Fenway Park.

Boston Red Sox vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 

The Red Sox came into this series with some positive momentum, but they have not pitched very well in the first two games of this series and will look to bounce back here. Boston is starting Tanner Houck, who has been one of the best pitchers in the American League so far this season. Milwaukee is just .500 over their last 12 games, but they are 18-12 on the road this year and continue to lead the NL Central. The Brewers are swinging a hot bat right now, but I don’t love Myers on the mound for them here. I think Houck will give another strong performance and my Boston Red Sox vs Milwaukee Brewers prediction is for Boston to get the win. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Red Sox ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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