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Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction 5-13-24 Picks

Tampa Bay Rays (20-21) vs. Boston Red Sox (21-19)
May 13, 2024 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Red Sox -132 / Tampa Bay Rays +111; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction for this MLB Game on Monday, May 13th at Fenway Park. 

Rays Fall Short

The Rays faced off against the New York Yankees on Sunday and they didn’t look good. The offense managed six runs but the defense gave up 10 runs. Yandy Diaz did hit a home run but it wasn’t enough as the pitching really struggled. The Rays are averaging 4.08 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.85 runs per game. The offense is ranked 20th while the pitching is ranked 25th in the league. Isaac Parades has hit eight home runs and driven in 22 RBIs. Getting the start for the Rays will be Zach Eflin who sits with a 2-4 record and an ERA of 3.75. In his last start against the White Sox, he went seven innings giving up six hits and one run. 

Red Sox Have Won Two Straight

Maybe the last two games were just what the Red Sox needed to turn around their season. The offense hasn’t been exactly great, but the pitching has been good. On Sunday, against the Nationals, the Red Sox were able to secure the 3-2 victory. Brayan Bello got the start, and he went five innings, giving up four hits and two runs. The Red Sox are averaging 4.3 runs, while their pitching is giving up 3.48 runs per game. The offense is ranked 16th while the pitching is ranked 2nd. Getting the start for the Red Sox will be Kutter Crawford, who sits with a 2-1 record and an ERA of 1.775. In his last start against the Atlanta Braves, he went six innings giving up five hits and two runs. 

Why the Boston Red Sox will win

  • The Red Sox have won 24 of their last 27 night games following a home win.
  • The Rays have lost each of their last four road games against American League opponents.
  • The favorites have covered the run line in each of the Rays’ last seven games at Fenway Park.
  • The Rays have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six road games.
  • The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Monday night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four road games against American League opponents.

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

  • The Red Sox have lost seven of their last eight games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
  • The Rays have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against American League opponents following a home loss.
  • The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 14 night games against AL East opponents.
  • The Rays have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against AL East opponents following a home loss.
  • The Rays have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven games against the Red Sox.
  • The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four night games.

Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

I expect both offenses to have some issues here. Crawford has been strong this season sitting with an ERA of 1.75 and Eflin even though his record might not say so has been good sitting with an ERA of 3.75. The Red Sox have had some issues scoring heading into this game, and that will be the difference here. Neither team will score more than three runs, and that will be the difference here. Back the under.

Shane Mickle's Free Pick: Under

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Shane Mickle

Sports is about all Shane knows in this life! He has a passion for sports and writing, which makes working for Sportschatplace a perfect job for him! If you find him cheering for a team it's usually a Minnesota team, or the Kansas Jayhawks!

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