Braves vs Brewers Prediction 6/21/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Braves vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, June 21st at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 48-27 this year after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 3-2 and 4-3. In game two, Atlanta trailed 3-1 in the seventh inning, but they scored once in the seventh and twice in the ninth for the win. The Braves recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Albies, who went 3-4 with two home runs and three RBIs. Sale allowed five hits and zero earned runs over 5.2 innings, while Lee picked up the win in relief. Prior to this series, Atlanta lost both games against the Giants and two out of three against the Mets. 

This season, Atlanta has a 3.34 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and a .224 opponent batting average, while they have scored 373 runs with a .253 batting average and a .318 on base percentage. Matt Olson has led the Braves with 20 home runs and 51 RBIs, while Drake Baldwin has added 14 home runs and 39 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Bryce Elder, who is 5-4 with a 3.15 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 88.2 innings pitched this year. 

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 45-29 this season after they lost game two by a score of 4-3 on Saturday. Milwaukee scored two runs in the sixth inning and one in the seventh to take a 3-1 lead, but their bullpen fell apart for the loss. The Brewers recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Vaughn, who went 1-3 with one RBI. Harrison allowed four hits and two earned runs over 6.1 innings, while Ashby picked up the loss in relief. Prior to this series, Milwaukee won two out of three against the Guardians and two out of three against the Phillies. 

This season, Milwaukee has a 3.44 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and a .223 opponent batting average, while they have scored 388 runs with a .255 batting average and a .339 on base percentage. Jake Bauers has led the Brewers with 13 home runs and 46 RBIs, while Brice Turang has added 11 home runs and 46 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Robert Gasser, who is 0-3 with a 4.88 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 24.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Braves have won eight of their last nine home games against NL Central opponents.
• The Brewers have lost seven of their last eight road games against the Braves following a loss.
• The Braves have covered the run line in six of their last seven day games against the Brewers following a win.
• The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five road day games.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Braves have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
• The Brewers have won four of their last five games as road underdogs against the Braves.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites.
• The Brewers have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games.
• The Brewers have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven games as underdogs.

Total Runs Facts

• Ten of the Braves’ last 12 games as favorites against the Brewers have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Brewers’ last five road games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in six of the Braves’ last seven day games against NL Central opponents.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of the Brewers’ last six games as road underdogs against National League opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Austin Riley has hit a home run in three of his last four home appearances against the Brewers after playing the previous day.
• Michael Harris has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Jackson Chourio has hit a home run in two of the Brewers’ last three games as underdogs.
• Andrew Vaughn has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against NL East opponents.

Braves vs Brewers Prediction

Milwaukee comes into this matchup on a three game losing streak and they have scored three runs or fewer in four of their last five games. The Brewers are 20-14 on the road this year, while the Braves are 24-13 at home. Atlanta is looking for the series sweep, but they have allowed 7+ runs in three of their last five games. The Braves are starting Elder, who has allowed 6, 2, 3, and 5 earned runs in his last four starts, while Gasser has allowed 0, 6, 1, and 4 earned runs in his last four outings. I don’t really trust either starter in this spot, so I will take the over in this one.