Braves vs Cubs Prediction 9/9/25 MLB Picks Today
Chicago Cubs (81-63) vs. Atlanta Braves (65-79)
September 9, 2025 7:15 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Braves -110 / Chicago Cubs -110; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Chicago Cubs and Atlanta Braves meet Tuesday in MLB action at Truist Park. Here’s a Braves vs Cubs Prediction. This article will include a Braves vs Cubs Pick.
Chicago Cubs Betting Preview
The Chicago Cubs are 81-63 on the year and play the Rays, Pirates, and Reds next. The Chicago Cubs are batting .248 on the season, have a .319 OBP, and a .426 slugging percentage. The Chicago Cubs pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. Nico Hoerner leads the Chicago Cubs with 152 hits and 56 RBI, while Pete Crow-Armstrong and Kyle Tucker have combined for 265 hits and 158 RBI.
Cade Horton gets the ball for the Chicago Cubs, and he is 9-4 with a 2.78 ERA and 87 strikeouts this season. This will be Horton’s second career game against the Atlanta Braves.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 65-79 on the year and play the Astros, Nationals, and Tigers next. The Atlanta Braves are batting .243 on the season, have a .318 OBP, and a .393 slugging percentage. The Atlanta Braves pitching staff has a 4.45 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Matt Olson leads the Atlanta Braves with 150 hits and 80 RBI, while Ozzie Albies and Michael Harris II have combined for 267 hits and 144 RBI.
Spencer Strider gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 5-12 with a 4.97 ERA and 106 strikeouts this season. This will be Strider’s second career game against the Chicago Cubs.
The Chicago Cubs @ Atlanta Braves Betting Trends: September 9, 2025
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Spencer Strider Record this season: 5-12 ERA: 4.97
- Home Record: 3-6
- Last 5 against Cubs: 0-0
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Braves have won seven of their last eight home games against the Cubs.
- The Cubs have lost nine of their last 10 games at Truist Park against teams that held a losing record.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games after playing the previous day.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last seven games against National League opponents.
- The Braves have won the first inning in four of their last five home games against NL Central opponents.
- The Cubs have trailed after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 games at Truist Park against opponents that held a losing record.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Cade Horton Record this season: 9-4 ERA: 2.78
- Road Record: 6-3
- Last 5 against Braves: 0-0
Why the Chicago Cubs will win
- The Braves have lost eight of their last nine games against NL Central opponents following a win.
- The Cubs have won seven of their last eight games against NL East opponents following a road loss.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in 15 of their last 16 night games against NL Central opponents following a win.
- The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last seven road games against NL East opponents following a road loss.
- The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five home games against National League opponents.
- The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last 10 Tuesday games against opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Braves’ last six night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Cubs’ last four night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Braves’ last eight home games against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Cubs’ last six games at Truist Park.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Ozzie Albies has hit a home run in each of the Braves’ last three games against the Cubs.
- Austin Riley has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 home appearances against NL Central opponents.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Ian Happ has hit at least one home run in three of the Cubs’ last five road games against NL East opponents.
- Nico Hoerner has recorded a Double in three of the Cubs’ last four games.
- Kyle Tucker has recorded at least one hit in 15 of his last 16 road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Kyle Tucker ranks 7th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.381) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Braves rank 4th in the league for walks this season (506).
- The Braves rank 26th in the league for doubles this season (216).
- The Cubs rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (368).
- The Cubs rank 3rd in the league for steals this season (144).
Braves vs Cubs Prediction
The Cubs need a win to bounce back, and this series is set up for them nicely. Horton has been solid this season with a 2.78 ERA and 1.14 WHIP, and he’s allowed 18 hits and 4 runs in his last 35 innings. Over the last month or so, Horton has been one of the best pitchers in baseball. Strider has been a shell of himself lately, allowing 37 hits and 24 runs in his last 23.2 innings. In 48.2 home innings, Strider has a 4.81 ERA and .286 allowed batting average. Give me the Cubs for a bounce back win.