Braves vs Guardians Prediction 8/17/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Braves vs Guardians Prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 17^th at the Progressive Field in the third game of this series, with the Braves having the 2-0 lead. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Cleveland Guardians Preview

The Cleveland Guardians have a 63-59 record this season and are sitting on the second place of the AL Central. The Guardians have a 31-30 home record and are 58-61 in over/under. They are coming off a 1-10 home defeat by the Braves, and are 1-3 in their last 4 games. They are playing the Diamondbacks and the Rangers next.

The Guardians have a .227 batting average this season, .299 OBP and .375 Slugging percentage. Cleveland’s pitching staff has a 3.89 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians with 132 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .293 batting average. He also leads the team both in RBI, with 64, and in home runs with 25.

Logan Allen (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Guardians, and he has a 7-9 record, 3.94 ERA and 1.38 WHIP.

Atlanta Braves Preview

The Atlanta Braves have a 55-68 record this season and are sitting on the 4^th place of the NL East. The Braves have a 25-38 road record and 55-59 in over/under. They are coming off a 10-1 road victory over the Guardians, and are 7-1 in their last 8 games. Over is 8-4 in their last 12 games and are playing the White Sox and the Mets next.

The Braves have a .243 batting average this season, .320 OBP and .393 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 4.22 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Matt Olson leads the Braves with 124 hits, and he is also the team’s best hitter with a .264 batting average. He also leads the team in RBI, with 72, while Marcell Ozuna leads the team in home runs with 20.

Erick Fedde (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves, and he has a 4-12 record, 5.40 ERA and 1.49 WHIP.

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

• The Braves have lost each of their last six day games against American League opponents.
• The Guardians have won four of their last five day games against NL East opponents.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line each of their last four day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Guardians have covered the run line in four of their last five day games against NL East opponents.
• The Braves have lost the first inning in three of their last four day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Braves have won each of their last five games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Guardians have lost four of their last five games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last seven games after playing the previous day.
• The Guardians have failed to cover the run line each of their last six day games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Braves have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven road games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven road games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Guardians have lost the first inning in three of their last four day games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Braves’ last four day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the last six games between the Braves and Guardians have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four games between the Braves and Guardians.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Braves’ last five games at Progressive Field.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Guardians rank 30th in the league for hits this season (909).
• The Guardians rank 30th in the league for batting average this season (.227).
• The Braves rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (444).
• The Braves rank T25th in the league for doubles this season (185).

Braves vs Guardians Prediction

The Braves are 8-2 in their last 10 head-to-head meetings against the Guardians, and are 6-1 in their last 7 visits in Cleveland. Under is 5-1 in their last 6 meetings.

In this Braves vs Guardians Prediction, the Guardians are coming as -130 home favorites. The Braves are playing their best baseball of the season right now, but they are putting Fedde on the mound, who has been arguably their weakest pitcher. He is coming into this matchup in terrible form, with a 7.94 ERA across his last five starts, while Allen has been much better for the Guardians lately, having given up 2 runs or less in each of his last three starts. The Guardians have the bullpen edge, and the Braves are much weaker against left-handed pitching, so I like the Guardians in a bounce-back spot at home, in a very reasonable price.