Braves vs Mariners Prediction 5/5/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Braves vs Mariners Prediction for this MLB matchup on Tuesday, May 5^th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Seattle Mariners Preview

The Seattle Mariners have a 17-19 record this season and are sitting in the second place of the AL West. They have a 11-10 home record and are coming off a 5-4 home win against the Braves. They dropped their previous three games at home against the Royals by scores of 1-4, 2-3, and 6-7.

The Mariners have a .230 batting average this season, .321 OBP and .378 Slugging percentage. Seattle’s pitching staff has a 3.73 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Randy Arozarena is the team’s best hitter with a .273 batting average. Cole Young leads the team in RBI with 19, and Cal Raleigh adds a team‑high 7 home runs.

George Kirby (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners, and he has a 4-2 record, 3.00 ERA and 1.13 WHIP.

Atlanta Braves Preview

The Atlanta Braves have a 25-11 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the NL East. They have a 13-5 away record and are coming off a 4-5 loss on the road against the Mariners. They won their previous three games on the road against the Rockies by scores of 11-6, 9-1, and 8-6.

The Braves have a .275 batting average this season, .341 OBP and .468 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 3.25 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. Ozzie Albies is the team’s best hitter with a .331 batting average. Matt Olson leads the team in RBI with 32, also adding a team‑high 12 home runs.

Bryce Elder (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves, and he has a 3-1 record, 1.88 ERA and 1.05 WHIP.

Atlanta Braves @ Seattle Mariners Betting Trends: May 5, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: George Kirby      Record this season: 4-2      ERA: 3.00
• Home Record: 3-1
• Last 5 against Braves: 1-1

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

• The Mariners have won seven of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Braves have lost five of their last six games at T-Mobile Park.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line each of their last six Tuesday games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mariners have covered the run line in four of their last five games against the Braves following a win.
• The Braves have lost the first inning in seven of their last nine road games.
• The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six Tuesday games as underdogs.
• The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six Tuesday games as underdogs.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Bryce Elder      Record this season: 3-1      ERA: 1.88
• Road Record: 1-1
• Last 5 against Mariners: 0-0

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Braves have won each of their last six games following a loss.
• The Mariners have lost four of their last six games as home favorites.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last 12 games as road underdogs.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight night games following a win.
• The Mariners have lost the first inning in four of their last five games as home favorites.
• The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mariners have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mariners’ last eight home games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Braves’ last eight road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last 14 games as home favorites.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last 12 road games against AL West opponents.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

• George Kirby has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last nine home appearances.
• George Kirby has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances.
• Cal Raleigh has hit a home run in three of his last four home appearances.
• Cal Raleigh has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Mariners as favorites against NL East opponents.
• George Kirby ranks T9th in the league for Wins (4) this season.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Matt Olson has hit a home run in each of the Braves’ last four night games.
• Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 16 games.
• Ozzie Albies ranks T1st in the league in Hits (46) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mariners rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (89).
• The Mariners rank T4th in the league for walks this season (143).
• The Braves rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (209).
• The Braves rank 1st in the league for hits this season (343).

Braves vs Mariners Prediction

The White Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 meetings against the Angels and are 3-1 in their last 4 visits in Los Angeles.

In this Braves vs Mariners Prediction, the Mariners are coming as -140 home favorites. The Mariners won against the red-hot Braves yesterday with Gilbert on the mound, but they will face Bryce Elder today, who has been excellent this season. The Braves have the best offense in baseball and are even better against right-handed pitching and while Kirby has been good, I don’t expect the Braves to drop a second straight game against a Mariners team that is tied for 23^rd in runs per game and I like them as road dogs today. Take the Braves on the moneyline for plus money.