Braves vs. Marlins Pick – MLB Predictions & Odds 4/26/23
Miami Marlins (12-12) vs. Atlanta Braves (16-8)
April 26, 2023 7:20 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Braves -155 / Miami Marlins +135; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)
The Miami Marlins and the Atlanta Braves meet in an NL East division matchup from Truist Park on Wednesday. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.
Odds
Atlanta is listed as a -155 home favorite while Miami is a +135 road underdog. The total for this game is set at 8.5 runs.
Starting Pitching Matchup
Sandy Alcantara will start for Miami here and is 1-2 with a 5.47 ERA and 20 strikeouts this season. Bryce Elder will get the nod for the Braves and is 2-0 with a 1.14 ERA and 23 strikeouts this season.
Matchup History
Atlanta’s 7-4 win on Tuesday made it back-to-back wins for the Braves in this head-to-head matchup over Miami.
Trends
Miami is 3-9 in their last 12 Wednesday games and 6-2 in their last 8 games against a team with a winning record while the over is 5-1 in their last 6 division games. Atlanta is 95-45 in their lats 140 games overall and 7-3 in their last 10 games against a team with a right-handed starter while the over is 8-1 in their last 9 home games.
Pick
I’m backing the under here. This to me sets up as a bona fide pitcher’s duel. Alcantara gave up six runs in his last start against Atlanta last year, but even with those six runs, Alcantara’s ERA in his last five starts against the Braves is 2.00, just showing how well he pitches against Atlanta. Bryce Elder has been solid out of the gate for Atlanta and Miami’s offensive inconsistencies are starting to rear their ugly head again as Alcantara is all too familiar with them. I’ll take the under in what feels like a first to 3 wins kind of game.