Braves vs Nationals Prediction 5/24/26 MLB Picks Today
Washington Nationals (26-27) vs. Atlanta Braves (36-17)
May 24, 2026 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Braves -167 / Washington Nationals 138; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Braves vs Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 24th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 36-17 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 5-4 and 0-2. In game two, Atlanta had a ton of problems at the plate and they couldn’t find any runs in the loss. The Braves recorded one hit in the game and they were led by Harris II, who had their only hit. Holmes allowed six hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Dodd threw three scoreless innings in relief. Prior to this series, Atlanta won three out of four against the Marlins and two out of three against the Red Sox.
This season, Atlanta has a 3.06 ERA with a 1.13 WHIP and a .207 opponent batting average, while they have scored 281 runs with a .262 batting average and a .325 on base percentage. Matt Olson has led the Braves with 14 home runs and 42 RBIs, while Drake Baldwin has added 13 home runs and 38 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Martin Perez, who is 2-2 with a 2.85 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP over 41.0 innings pitched this year.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 26-27 this season after they won game two by a score of 2-0 on Saturday. Washington scored one run in the fourth inning and one in the fifth, which was enough for the shutout win. The Nationals recorded seven hits and they committed one error, while they were led by Vivas, who went 2-4 with one home run and one RBI. Irvin allowed zero hits and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Lord threw three scoreless innings in relief. Prior to this series, Washington split four games with the Mets and won two out of three against the Orioles.
This season, Washington has a 4.87 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP and a .255 opponent batting average, while they have scored 286 runs with a .243 batting average and a .323 on base percentage. CJ Abrams has led the Nationals with 11 home runs and 45 RBIs, while James Wood has added 13 home runs and 34 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Foster Griffin, who is 5-2 with a 4.02 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 56.0 innings pitched this season.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Braves have won each of their last nine games following a home loss.
- The Nationals have lost 10 of their last 11 day games against the Braves following a road win.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last eight day games against NL East opponents following a loss.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against the Braves following a win.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last six Sunday games.
- The Braves have led after 3 innings in four of their last five home day games.
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Nationals have won each of their last seven Sunday day games as underdogs against the Braves.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last 10 Sunday day games against the Braves.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Nationals have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven games at Truist Park against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Nationals have led after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Six of the Braves’ last seven games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Nationals’ last five road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last five home games against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Nationals’ last four day games against National League opponents.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Matt Olson has hit a home run in five of the Braves’ last nine day games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Michael Harris has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 15 games against the Nationals.
- Matt Olson ranks 7th in the league in Home Runs (14) this season.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- CJ Abrams has hit a home run in two of the Nationals’ last three games against the Braves.
- Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances.
- Nasim Nunez ranks 1st in the league in Steals (22) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Braves rank 1st in the league for hits this season (475).
- The Braves rank 1st in the league for RBIs this season (275).
- The Nationals rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (284).
- The Nationals rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (103).
Braves vs Nationals Prediction
Atlanta had their winning streak snapped in game two on Saturday, but they have scored at least five runs in four of their last five games. The Braves are 17-9 at home this year, while the Nationals are 16-11 on the road. Washington has lost two of their last three games and they have scored two runs or fewer in two of those three. The Nationals are starting Griffin, who has allowed 14 earned runs and 15 hits in his last 9.1 innings, while Perez has allowed six earned runs in his last 17.2 innings. Take the Braves -1.5 here.