Braves vs Padres Prediction 5/25/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Braves vs Padres prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 25th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 25-26 this season after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 1-2 and 7-1. In their game two win, the Braves were tied at one in the top of the third, but they scored the last six runs in the game for the easy win. The Braves recorded 13 hits in the game, and they were led by Harris II and Acuna Jr., who both had two RBIs in the win. Atlanta started Holmes, who allowed six hits and one earned run over 7.0 innings for the win, while De Los Santos and Blewett finished the final two innings. 

Prior to this series, the Braves lost two games against the Nationals, but did win two out of three against the Red Sox before that. Atlanta has lost four of their last six games, and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.75 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .234 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 213 runs with a .248 batting average and a .320 on-base percentage this year. Matt Olson has led Atlanta with 12 home runs and 29 RBIs, while Austin Riley has added eight home runs and 28 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Spencer Schwellenbach, who is 3-3 with a 3.52 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP over 61.1 innings pitched this season. 

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres are 28-22 this year after they lost game two by a score of 7-1 on Saturday. San Diego tied the game at one in the third inning, but they were held scoreless for the final six innings, for a loss. The Padres recorded six hits in the game, and they were led by Machado, who went 2-2 with one RBI in the loss. San Diego started Reynolds, who allowed six hits and three earned runs over 2.2 innings, while Jacob allowed three hits and four earned runs in 1.2 relief innings. 

Prior to this series, the Padres lost all three against the Blue Jays and all three against the Mariners. San Diego has lost seven of their last eight games, and they are currently third in the NL West standings. The San Diego pitching staff has a 3.53 ERA with a 1.21 WHIP and a .224 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 208 runs with a .253 batting average and a .319 on-base percentage this season. Fernando Tatis has led San Diego with 12 home runs and 27 RBIs, while Gavin Sheets has added nine home runs and 29 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Dylan Cease, who is 1-3 with a 4.50 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 54.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Padres will beat the Braves

• The Padres have won each of their last seven games as underdogs against the Braves following a road loss.
• The Braves have lost each of their last five games as favorites against the Padres following a home win.
• The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as road underdogs against the Braves following a loss.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as home favorites against the Padres following a win.
• The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight Sunday day games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight Sunday day games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Braves’ last nine day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Padres’ last four games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Padres’ last eight games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last five day games against National League opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Matt Olson has hit a home run in three of the Braves’ last four games as favorites.
• Matt Olson has recorded at least one RBI in six of the Braves’ last seven games.
• Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances with the Braves as home favorites against NL West opponents.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has scored a run in each of his last four home appearances after playing the previous day.
• Alex Verdugo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with his team as a favorite against NL West opponents.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

• Dylan Cease has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances.
• Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances with his team as a road underdog against NL East opponents.
• Manny Machado has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Padres’ last six games as underdogs against NL opponents.
• Manny Machado has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres’ last 14 games against NL opponents.
• Manny Machado has scored at least one run in seven of the Padres’ last nine road games against NL opponents.
• Luis Campusano has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with the Padres as underdogs against NL East opponents.

Braves vs Padres Prediction 

San Diego comes into this matchup really struggling, as they have lost seven of their last eight games, but they will look for the series win here. The Padres are 12-14 on the road this season, while the Braves are 16-8 at home. Atlanta does play their best ball at home, and Acuna has looked very impressive since returning from the IL. The Braves are starting Schwellenbach, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in two of his last three starts. The Padres are starting Cease, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. This is another very good pitching matchup on Sunday afternoon, but I think Cease has been the better pitcher over the last five starts. Take the Padres with the plus money here.