Braves vs Phillies Prediction 10/1/26 MLB Playoffs Picks Today

The Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves meet Thursday in MLB playoff action at Truist Park. Here’s a Braves vs. Phillies Prediction. This article will include a Braves vs. Phillies Pick.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies look to make the NLDS for a fourth straight season. The Phillies have lost 5 of their last 7 games. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .247 in these playoffs, with a .286 OBP and a .438 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies’ pitching staff has a 4.00 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP. Alex Bohm leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 3 hits and 2 RBI, while Bryce Harper and J.T. Realmuto have combined for 4 hits and 2 RBI.

The Philadelphia Phillies didn’t list a starting pitcher at the time this article was published.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves look to win their first playoff series since the 2021 season. The Braves have split their last 10 games. The Atlanta Braves are batting .242 in these playoffs and have a .338 OBP and a .364 slugging percentage. The Atlanta Braves’ pitching staff has a 3.32 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP. Michael Harris II leads the Atlanta Braves with 4 hits and 0 RBI, while Ozzie Albies and Mauricio Dubon have combined for 5 hits and 1 RBI.

The Atlanta Braves didn’t list a starting pitcher at the time this article was published.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Phillies have lost each of their last 13 night games against the Braves following a road win.
• The Braves have won eight of their last nine games as home underdogs against NL East opponents following a home loss.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 13 games against the Braves following a win.
• The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as home underdogs.
• The Braves have led after 5 innings in eight of their last 10 night games at Truist Park against NL East opponents.
• The Braves have won the first inning in four of their last five games as home underdogs.
• The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five Thursday games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won each of their last nine games as favorites after going to extra innings.
• The Braves have lost 11 of their last 12 games after going to extra innings.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against NL opponents after going to extra innings.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last four night playoff games against the Braves.
• The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six night playoff games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Braves’ last six games after going to extra innings have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Phillies’ last six games after going to extra innings have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Phillies’ last seven games at Truist Park.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in eight of the Braves’ last nine home games against NL opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Austin Riley has hit a home run in three of the Braves’ last four home games.
• Mauricio Dubon has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last nine games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Matt Olson ranks T6th in the league in Home Runs (41) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last four games as favorites against the Braves.
• Edmundo Sosa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Phillies as road favorites.
• Kyle Schwarber ranks T1st in the league in Home Runs (45) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Braves rank 29th in the league for triples this season (13).
• The Braves rank 28th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.309).
• The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1577).
• The Phillies are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.

Braves vs Phillies Prediction

It would be nice to know who the starters are going to be, but it’s two in the morning, and I doubt we’re going to get an announcement until later in the day. Either way, it’s an elimination game, and all hands will be on deck. Whoever takes the mound will have a short leash, and managers will get creative.

With that said, we’re getting the slightly lower price with the Braves at home. The Braves have been the better team all season, and they’ve been ridiculous at home with 52 wins now. I trust the Braves’ offense more, and they have the better bullpen easily. We’re going in a bit blind here, but I’ll give the Braves the edge to advance.