Rays vs Brewers Prediction 10/28/26 MLB Picks Today
Milwaukee Brewers (103-59) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (98-64)
October 28, 2026 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Tampa Bay Rays 123 / Milwaukee Brewers -148; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Milwaukee Brewers and Tampa Bay Rays meet Wednesday in World Series Game 5 at Tropicana Field. Here’s a Rays vs. Brewers Prediction. This article will include a Rays vs. Brewers Pick.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers look to win the first World Series in franchise history. The Brewers haven’t lost back-to-back games since September 5-6. The Brewers have lost two playoff games, and both have come on the road. The Milwaukee Brewers are batting .263 in these playoffs, have a .3499 OBP, and have a .40202 slugging percentage. The Milwaukee Brewers’ pitching staff has a 2.06 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP. William Contreras leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 18 hits and 8 RBI, while Cooper Pratt and Jackson Chourio have combined for 31 hits and 14 RBI.
Jacob Misiorowski gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 16-5 with a 1.80 ERA and 252 strikeouts this season. Misiorowski is 0-0 with a 3.00 ERA and 7 strikeouts in his career against the Tampa Bay Rays. Misiorowski is 3-1 with a 2.13 ERA and 30 strikeouts in his postseason career.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays need a win to save their season and force a game 6 on Friday. The Rays are 5-2 in these MLB playoffs at home. The Rays have won their last three games that have gone into extra innings. The Tampa Bay Rays are batting .220 in these playoffs, have a .276 OBP, and have a .325 slugging percentage. The Tampa Bay Rays’ pitching staff has a 3.38 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. Yandy Diaz leads the Tampa Bay Rays with 15 hits and 5 RBI, while Jonathan Aranda and Junior Caminero have combined for 25 hits and 10 RBI.
The Tampa Bay Rays didn’t announce a starting pitcher at the time this article was published.
Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win
- The Rays have won each of their last six games as home underdogs following a win.
- The Brewers have lost seven of their last nine games as road favorites after going to extra innings.
- The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last eight playoff games as underdogs.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against AL East opponents.
- The Rays have led after 3 innings in seven of their last nine home night playoff games.
- The Rays have led after 5 innings in nine of their last 12 night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last seven night games following a road loss.
- The Rays have lost nine of their last 10 night games against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last eight Wednesday night games against AL East opponents.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 night games at Tropicana Field following a home win.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last 10 Wednesday games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last six Wednesday games against opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Brewers’ last four games as road favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Rays’ last seven games as home underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Brewers’ last seven road games against AL East opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Rays’ last four home games.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Junior Caminero has hit a home run in four of the Rays’ last seven home games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rays’ last 12 home games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Chandler Simpson ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (46) this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- David Hamilton has hit a home run in two of the Brewers’ last three road games.
- Jacob Misiorowski has recorded six or more strikeouts in 13 of his last 15 road appearances.
- Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 19 appearances with the Brewers as road favorites against AL opponents.
- Jacob Misiorowski has recorded a win in three of his last four playoff appearances with the Brewers as favorites.
- Jacob Misiorowski ranks 1st in the league for total Strikeouts (252) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (1145).
- The Rays rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (409).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1422).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.258).
Rays vs Brewers Prediction
The Brewers should be favored with Misiorowski on the mound, as he’s one of the best arms in baseball and they’ve won 12 straight games with him on the mound. It would also be nice to know who the Rays are throwing out there at the time of this writing.
I’m still grabbing the plus money with the Rays. The Rays have just found ways to win all season long. They were the most profitable team in the regular season and are the second most profitable team in the playoffs. The Rays have also been insanely good at home this season. I’m just going to grab the plus money when I can with a team that’s been good to our bank account all season.
Regardless of whether this is the end of the MLB season, thanks for reading, and see ya again in a few months.
