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Braves vs Phillies Prediction 4/9/25 MLB Picks Today

Philadelphia Phillies (7-3) vs. Atlanta Braves (2-8)
April 9, 2025 7:15 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Braves -135 / Philadelphia Phillies 114; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Braves vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, April 9, at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies (7-3, 2-2 Away) defeated the Nationals, swept the Rockies, and beat the Dodgers to open the new season. The Phillies did lose 7-5 in Game 1 of a current three-game series against the Braves. Kyle Schwarber and Nick Castellanos combined for five RBI, while Zack Wheeler pitched for 5.1 innings in a no-decision, allowing five runs on eight hits with seven strikeouts and three walks. Orion Kerkering took a loss.

This season, the Phillies average 5.00 runs per game (9th in the MLB) on a .268/.365/.427 slash line. Regarding pitching, the Phillies’ staff has a 3.22 ERA (7th) and 1.08 WHIP (4th). Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with a .324 batting average, five home runs, and 11 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Phillies is Taijuan Walker, who has a 1-0 record in one start this year with a 0.00 ERA and 0.67 WHIP in 6.0 innings.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves (2-8, 2-1 Home) opened the new season with seven consecutive losses but won two of the last three games. The Braves were swept by the Padres and Dodgers, split the series with the Marlins, and beat the Phillies in Game 1 of this series. Sean Murphy led the team with four RBI in a 7-5 win on Tuesday, while Chris Sale allowed five runs on nine hits with five strikeouts and no walks in 4.2 innings. Daysbel Hernandez was credited with a win.

This year, the Braves average 2.67 runs per game (30th in the MLB) on a .193/.280/.297 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Braves’ staff has a 4.36 ERA (19th) and 1.30 WHIP (16th). Marcell Ozuna leads the Braves with a .241 batting average, one home run, and five RBI this season.

Grant Holmes will take the mound for the Braves on Wednesday. The 29-year-old righty has a 0-1 record in one start this year with a 7.20 ERA and 1.60 WHIP over 5.0 innings of work.

Total Runs Facts

  • Five of the last six games between the Phillies and Braves at Truist Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Nine of the Phillies’ last 11 games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last four games against National League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the last five night games between the Phillies and Braves.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Braves rank T28th in the league for hits this season (67).
  • The Braves rank T28th in the league for steals this season (3).
  • The Phillies rank T4th in the league for strikeouts against this season (77).
  • The Phillies rank 4th in the league for runs allowed this season (36).

Braves vs Phillies Prediction

The Braves won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, but the Phillies won three of the last five. I was surprised with 12 combined runs in Game 1, as I expected a low-scoring affair, but in this one, the teams should combine for 9+ runs. Taijuan Walker allowed a .349 BA with four homers and 16 RBI in 83 at-bats against the Braves, while Grant Holmes is not good enough to keep the Phillies at bay early on. I am backing both teams to score 3+ runs in the opening five innings. The Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 76 away games. Give me the Over.

Oliver Zivic's Free Pick: Over 8.5

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Oliver Zivic

Professional journalist and expert bettor with 20+ years of experience. I cover Football (soccer), NFL, NBA, NHL, MLB, CFB, and CBB.

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