Braves vs Pirates Prediction 9/27/25 MLB Picks Today

The Pittsburgh Pirates and Atlanta Braves meet Saturday in MLB action at Truist Park. Here’s a Braves vs Pirates Prediction. This article will include a Braves vs Pirates Pick.

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 70-90 on the year after playing the Reds. The Pittsburgh Pirates are batting .231 on the season, have a .305 OBP, and a .351 slugging percentage. The Pittsburgh Pirates pitching staff has a 3.78 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. Bryan Reynolds leads the Pittsburgh Pirates with 142 hits and 73 RBI while Andrew McCutchen and Nick Gonzales have combined for 211 hits and 86 RBI.

Bubba Chandler gets the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he is 3-1 with a 4.56 ERA and 25 strikeouts this season. This will be Chandler’s first career game against the Atlanta Braves.

Atlanta Braves Betting Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 75-85 on the year after playing the Nationals. The Atlanta Braves are batting .246 on the season, have a .321 OBP, and a .400 slugging percentage. The Atlanta Braves pitching staff has a 4.39 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Matt Olson leads the Atlanta Braves with 168 hits and 94 RBI while Michael Harris II and Ozzie Alies have combined for 295 hits and 160 RBI.

Spencer Strider gets the ball for the Atlanta Braves, and he is 7-13 with a 4.45 ERA and 126 strikeouts this season. Strider is 1-1 with a 6.48 ERA and 11 strikeouts in his career against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Atlanta Braves Betting Trends: September 27, 2025

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Spencer Strider      Record this season: 7-13      ERA: 4.45
• Home Record: 3-7
• Last 5 against Pirates: 1-1

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Pirates have lost each of their last eight road games against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Braves have won each of their last eight Saturday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine road games against the Braves following a win.
• The Braves have covered the run line in eight of their last 10 games against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Pirates have lost the first inning in each of their last four games at Truist Park against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Braves have led after 3 innings in nine of their last 11 night games against the Pirates at Truist Park.
• The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last six Saturday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Bubba Chandler      Record this season: 3-1      ERA: 4.56
• Road Record: 1-0
• Last 5 against Braves: –

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

• The Pirates have won each of their last six games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The Braves have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
• The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last seven games.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
• The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 night games against NL Central opponents.
• The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight home games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Pirates’ last four games as underdogs against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the last seven games between the Pirates and Braves have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last seven Saturday night games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the last six night games between the Pirates and Braves at Truist Park.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Braves’ last four night games.
• Spencer Strider has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last six Saturday appearances at Truist Park.
• Spencer Strider has recorded a win in each of his last five Saturday appearances against NL teams that held a losing record.
• Sean Murphy has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against the Pirates.
• Austin Riley has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 home appearances against NL Central opponents.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Jared Triolo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
• Bryan Reynolds has recorded a Double in three of the Pirates’ last four games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• Tommy Pham has hit a home run in each of the Pirates’ last two games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
• Oneil Cruz ranks T4th in the league in Steals (38) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Braves rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (571).
• The Braves rank T25th in the league for steals this season (81).
• The Pirates rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (579).
• The Pirates rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (116).

Braves vs Pirates Prediction

With neither team having anything to play for, I’m going to give the edge to the Braves at home. The Braves are enjoying their best stretch of the season. Also, Chandler has a limited sample size and has allowed 18 hits and 13 runs in his last 17.2 innings. Strider has been more trustworthy, and he’s allowed 24 hits and 7 runs in his last 30 innings. Price is a bit steep in a battle between two teams waiting for vacation, but I’m going to side with the Braves anyway.