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Colorado Rockies vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 4/5/26 MLB Picks Today

Philadelphia Phillies (5-3) vs. Colorado Rockies (2-6)
April 5, 2026 3:10 pm EDT
The Line: Colorado Rockies +144 / Philadelphia Phillies -175; Over/Under: 11.5
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The Philadelphia Phillies and the Colorado Rockies meet Sunday in MLB action from Coors Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Philadelphia Phillies will start Taijuan Walker for the start here and Walker is 0-1 with an 11.57 ERA and 2 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Rockies, Walker is 3-0 with a 2.40 ERA and 21 strikeouts. Tomoyuki Sugano will start this one for the Rockies and is 0-0 with a 1.93 ERA and 4 strikeouts this season. This will be Sugano’s first career start against the Phillies.

Philadelphia Phillies Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to add on to their 2-1 win over the Colorado Rockies last time out to sit at 5-3 this season. fter this series, the Phillies will head on the road for a series against the San Francisco Giants.

Phillies Pick Up 4th Straight W

Adolis Garcia has 8 hits with a pair of doubles, a home run and three RBIs while Kyle Schwarber has 6 hits with 2 doubles, 3 home runs and 6 RBIs. Brandon Marsh has 9 hits with a pair of doubles, a home run and a 5 RBIs while Justin Crawford also has 8 hits with a double and an RBI. Trea Turner has 10 hits with 3 doubles and Bryce Harper’s added 5 hits with 2 home runs and 4 RBIs this season. 

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

  • The Rockies have lost each of their last 16 games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Phillies have won each of their last 10 games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Phillies have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last four day games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Taijuan Walker has recorded a win in six of his last seven appearances against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Taijuan Walker has recorded four or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances in day games against NL West teams that held a losing record.
  • Brandon Marsh has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with the Phillies as favorites against NL opponents.
  • Kyle Schwarber ranks T4th in the league in Home Runs (3) this season.

Colorado Rockies Recap

The Colorado Rockies come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss at the hands of the Phillies on Saturday to drop to 2-6 on the year. After this series, the Rockies will take on the Houston Astros at home.

Rockies Drop 6 Of First 8 Games

TJ Rumfield has 9 hits with a double, a home run and three RBIs while Ezequiel Tovar has 10 hits with 2 doubles, a home run and 5 RBIs. Hunter Goodman’s added 7 hits with a double, a home run and two RBIs and Jordan Beck has 4 RBIs as well on the year. Troy Johnston has 7 hits with a home run and 3 RBIs.

Why the Colorado Rockies will win

  • The Phillies have lost 10 of their last 17 games as road favorites against National League opponents.
  • The Rockies have won six of their last seven day games against the Phillies at Coors Field following a loss.
  • The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites after playing the previous day.
  • The Rockies have covered the run line in each of their last six games following a loss.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

  • Hunter Goodman has hit a home run in two of his last three home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Tyler Freeman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 19 appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Jake McCarthy ranks T1st in the league in Steals (4) this season.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Rockies’ last six day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Phillies’ last four day games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies Prediction

I’m on the over in this game. I get the case to be made for either side here, but I frankly don’t trust either starting pitcher in this matchup as Sugano makes his Coors Field debut here and Taijuan Walker being batting practice in his debut and for much of last season as well. I think we’re headed for another high-scoring affair here so give me the over.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Over 11.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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