Braves vs Reds Prediction 5/6/25 MLB Picks Today

The Cincinnati Reds and the Atlanta Braves meet Tuesday in MLB action from Truist Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Braves vs Reds Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Cincinnati Reds will send out Andrew Abbott for the start here, and Abbott is 2-0 with a 2.84 ERA and 23 strikeouts this season. This will be Abbott’s first career start against the Braves. Chris Sale will get the nod for the Braves in this one and is 1-3 with a 4.84 ERA and 46 strikeouts this season. In his career, Sale is 1-0 with a 3.12 ERA and 12 strikeouts against the Reds.

Cincinnati Reds Recap

The Cincinnati Reds come into this game looking to bounce back from a series-opening 4-0 loss at the hands of the Braves on Monday to fall to 18-18 on the year. After this series, the Reds will head on the road for a series against the Houston Astros.

Reds Drop Three In A Row

Elly De La Cruz has a team-high 36 hits with 5 home runs, 25 RBIs, and 13 stolen bases, while TJ Friedl has 36 hits with 6 doubles and 13 RBIs with 7 stolen bases. Gavin Lux has added 33 hits with a team-high 8 doubles and 15 RBIs, while Spencer Steer has 3 home runs and 11 RBIs, and Matt McLain has added 4 homers, 12 RBIs, and 6 stolen bases as well on the year.

Why the Cincinnati Reds will win

• The Reds have won each of their last six Tuesday games as underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Braves have lost eight of their last 11 games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
• The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last six games at Truist Park following a road loss.
• The Braves have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 night games against NL Central opponents following a win.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

• TJ Friedl has recorded a Double in three of his last four road appearances after playing the previous day.
• Spencer Steer has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six Tuesday appearances against teams that held a losing record.
• Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Will Benson has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Austin Hays has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances with his team as an underdog.
• Will Benson has scored a run in each of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Elly De La Cruz ranks 3rd in the league in Steals (13) this season.

Atlanta Braves Recap

The Atlanta Braves come into this game looking to inch closer to .500 after picking up the win over the Reds on Monday to improve to 16-18 on the year. After this series, the Braves will head on the road for a series against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Braves Pick Up Back-To-Back Wins

Austin Riley leads the Braves with 41 hits, including 8 home runs, 25 RBIs, and a team-high 6 doubles, but also has the dubious distinction of leading Atlanta with 45 strikeouts so far this season. Ozzie Albies has 33 hits with 5 home runs and 14 RBIs in addition to 5 stolen bases, and Matt Olson has 27 hits with 5 doubles, 6 home runs, and 18 RBIs of his own. Marcell Ozuna also has 29 hits with 5 home runs and 12 RBIs. Michael Harris II also has 28 hits with 6 doubles, 3 home runs, and 19 RBIs and 7 stolen bases as well, and Nick Allen has 5 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Atlanta Braves will win

• The Braves have won five of their last six night games after playing the previous day.
• The Reds have lost five of their last six night games against NL East opponents.
• The Braves have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against National League opponents.
• The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as underdogs against NL East opponents.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

• Matt Olson has hit at least one home run in three of the Braves’ last four games against the Reds.
• Austin Riley has recorded at least one Single in each of the Braves’ last seven games as home favorites.
• Matt Olson has scored at least one run in each of the Braves’ last seven games against NL Central opponents.
• Chris Sale has recorded seven or more strikeouts in six of his last seven home appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Austin Riley has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 10 home games against NL opponents.
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in eight of his last nine home appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Marcell Ozuna ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.441) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Reds’ last five road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Braves’ last seven games have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Braves vs Reds Prediction

I’m on the Reds and the plus money here. I get that Atlanta looked good on Monday, and AJ Smith-Shawver of all people carried a no-hitter deep into that game. That being said, while Chris Sale is the better pitcher here, he’s also got the name brand attached to him and the premium that goes along with that. The Reds have some solid numbers as of late against lefties, and I think the Reds could do enough to get to Sale and get the win here. Give me the Reds.