Cincinnati Reds (18-19) vs. Atlanta Braves (17-18)
May 7, 2025 7:15 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Braves -102 / Cincinnati Reds -118; Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Braves vs Reds prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, May 7, at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds (18-19, 9-9 Away) are looking to avoid their fifth consecutive defeat for the first time this season. The Reds lost the opening two games of this series in Atlanta, and before that, they lost the series to the Nationals and split with the Cardinals. In Game 2 against the Braves last night, the Reds fell short 2-1 in extra innings. Andrew Abbott pitched for 5.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing no runs on four hits with eight strikeouts and no walks. Lyon Richardson took the loss.
This year, the Reds average 4.78 runs per game (9th in the MLB) on a .242/.323/.381 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Reds’ staff has a 3.60 ERA (9th) and 1.13 WHIP (1st). Elly De La Cruz leads the Reds with a .266 batting average, five home runs, and 25 RBI this season.
Hunter Greene will take the mound for the Reds on Wednesday. The 25-year-old right-hander has a 4-2 record in seven starts this year with a 2.53 ERA and 0.82 WHIP in 42.2 innings.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves (17-18, 11-5 Home) responded to a three-game losing skid with three straight wins. After salvaging a series against the Dodgers, the Braves won the first two games of the series against the Reds. Michael Harris II hit a game-tying double in last night’s 2-1 victory to force extra innings, while Marcell Ozuna hit a game-winning single in the 10th. Chris Sale pitched for 6.2 innings in a no-decision, allowing no runs on five hits with ten strikeouts and two walks. Raisel Iglesias was credited with the win.
This season, the Braves average 4.03 runs per game (18th in the MLB) on a .241/.316/.391 slash line. Regarding pitching, the Braves’ staff has a 4.03 ERA (16th) and 1.25 WHIP (12th). Austin Riley leads the Braves with a .290 batting average, eight home runs, and 25 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Braves is Grant Holmes, who is 2-2 in six starts this season, with a 4.24 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 34.0 innings.
Why the Reds will beat the Braves
- The Braves have lost each of their last six games as underdogs following a home win.
- The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last seven road games against the Braves following a road loss.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games against NL Central opponents following a home win.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Reds’ last eight road games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Braves’ last eight games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last six games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four games between the Reds and Braves.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Braves rank T9th in the league for runs allowed this season (142).
- The Braves rank T21st in the league for steals this season (22).
- The Reds rank 27th in the league for strikeouts against this season (322).
- The Reds rank 5th in the league for hits allowed this season (257).
Braves vs Reds Prediction
The Braves won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including the last four. I am leaning toward the Reds in this one because of the pitching matchup. Hunter Greene is better than Grant Holmes, and he allowed a .224 BA in 49 at-bats against the Braves. Holmes, on the other hand, allowed a .333 BA in 21 at-bats against the Reds. Back in Cincinnati here.
