Brewers vs Astros Prediction 5/31/26 MLB Picks Today
Milwaukee Brewers (34-21) vs. Houston Astros (27-33)
May 31, 2026 2:10 pm EDT
The Line: Houston Astros 158 / Milwaukee Brewers -193; Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Brewers vs Astros Prediction for this MLB matchup on Sunday, May 31st in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Houston Astros Preview
The Houston Astros have a 27-33 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the AL West. They have a 13-15 home record and are coming off a 9-2 home win against the Brewers. They will face the Pirates and the Athletics next.
The Astros have a .246 batting average this season, .321 OBP and .413 Slugging percentage. Houston’s pitching staff has a 4.97 ERA and 1.44 WHIP. Yordan Alvarez is the team’s best hitter with a .305 batting average, also adding a team-high 20 home runs. Christian Walker leads the team in RBI with 43.
Tatsuya Imai (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Astros, and he has a 2-2 record, 6.17 ERA and 1.50 WHIP.
Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers have a 34-21 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL Central. They have a 15-10 road record and are coming off a 2-9 road defeat against the Astros. They will face the Giants and the Rockies next.
The Brewers have a .243 batting average this season, .330 OBP and .361 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.23 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. William Contreras is the team’s best hitter with a .295 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 34. Jake Bauers adds a team-high 8 home runs.
Jacob Misiorowski (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, and he has a 5-2 record, 1.83 ERA and 0.83 WHIP.
Milwaukee Brewers @ Houston Astros Betting Trends: May 31, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Tatsuya Imai Record this season: 2-2 ERA: 6.17
- Home Record: 0-1
- Last 5 against Brewers: –
Why the Houston Astros will win
- The Brewers have lost five of their last six games as road favorites against AL West opponents.
- The Astros have won four of their last five games as underdogs against National League opponents.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites against American League opponents.
- The Astros have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games.
- The Brewers have lost the first inning in three of their last four day games against American League opponents.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six day games against American League opponents.
- The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games as road favorites against AL West opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Jacob Misiorowski Record this season: 5-2 ERA: 1.83
- Road Record: 2-2
- Last 5 against Astros: –
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last six games against the Astros following a loss.
- The Astros have lost eight of their last nine day games against NL Central opponents following a home win.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last six games against the Astros following a loss.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 12 day games against NL Central opponents following a home win.
- The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four home day games.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Brewers’ last 10 day games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Seven of the last eight games between the Brewers and Astros at Daikin Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Brewers’ last eight day games at Daikin Park.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Astros’ last six games.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Christian Walker has hit at least one home run in each of the Astros’ last three day games.
- Jake Meyers has recorded at least one hit in each of his nine previous appearances against the Brewers after playing the previous day.
- Yordan Alvarez ranks T2nd in the league in Home Runs (20) this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 road appearances against AL opponents.
- Gary Sanchez has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in day games against AL West teams that held a losing record.
- Jacob Misiorowski ranks 1st in the league for total Strikeouts (100) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Astros rank 30th in the league for walks allowed this season (285).
- The Astros rank T29th in the league for triples this season (3).
- The Brewers rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (39).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (40).
Brewers vs Astros Prediction
Both teams are tied 4-4 in their last 8 meetings and are 2-2 in their last 4 meetings in Houston.
In this Brewers vs Astros Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -190 road favorites. The Brewers lost yesterday but they have a big pitching edge today, as Jacob Misiorowski goes up against Tatsuya Imai. Misiorowski has been unhittable lately, with just one earned run in his last five starts, while on the flip side, Imai has given up 12 runs in three of his last four starts. The Astros also have the worst bullpen in baseball, so take the Brewers for the bounce-back win on the road in this one.