MLB Picks

Brewers vs Dodgers Prediction 10/11/26 MLB Picks Today

LA Dodgers (100-62) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (103-59)
October 11, 2026 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Milwaukee Brewers -113 / LA Dodgers -107; Over/Under: 6
(Get latest betting odds)

The Los Angeles Dodgers and Milwaukee Brewers meet Sunday in MLB playoff action at American Family Field. Here’s a Brewers vs. Dodgers Prediction. This article will include a Brewers vs. Dodgers Pick.

Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers beat the Braves in 4 games and will play for the first time since Wednesday. The Dodgers have won 6 straight road games. The Los Angeles Dodgers are batting .203 in these playoffs, with a .264 OBP and a .391 slugging percentage. The Los Angeles Dodgers’ pitching staff has a 2.00 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP. Kyle Tucker leads the Los Angeles Dodgers with 5 hits and 2 RBI, while Freddie Freeman and Andy Pages have combined for 8 hits and 4 RBI.

Tarik Skubal gets the ball for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and he is 12-7 with a 2.72 ERA and 186 strikeouts this season. Skubal is 2-1 with a 2.10 ERA and 31 strikeouts in his career against the Milwaukee Brewers. Skubal is 3-1 with a 1.97 ERA and 63 strikeouts in his postseason career.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers beat the Padres in 4 games and will play for the first time since Wednesday. The Brewers have won 5 straight home games. The Milwaukee Brewers are batting .250 in these playoffs, have a .340 OBP, and have a .348 slugging percentage. The Milwaukee Brewers’ pitching staff has a 1.80 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP. William Contreras leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 6 hits and 2 RBI, while Christian Yelich and Garrett Mitchell have combined for 9 hits and 2 RBI.

Jacob Misiorowski gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 16-5 with a 1.80 ERA and 252 strikeouts this season. Misiorowski is 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA and 18 strikeouts in his career against the Los Angeles Dodgers. Misiorowski is 2-1 with a 2.25 ERA and 22 strikeouts in his postseason career.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

  • The Brewers have won each of their last 10 games at American Family Field against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Dodgers have lost each of their last 15 games as underdogs against NL Central opponents following a road win.
  • The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last seven home games following a road win.
  • The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as underdogs against NL opponents following a road win.
  • The Dodgers have lost the first inning in five of their last six road games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Dodgers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
  • The Dodgers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last nine games as underdogs against NL opponents.

Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win

  • The Dodgers have won each of their last 10 playoff games against NL Central opponents.
  • The Brewers have lost each of their last four playoff games against the Dodgers following a win.
  • The Dodgers have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 playoff games against NL Central opponents.
  • The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight playoff games as home favorites against NL West opponents.
  • The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven games against NL Central opponents.
  • The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against NL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Brewers’ last eight night playoff games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Dodgers’ last six night games against NL opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in nine of the Brewers’ last 10 night games against NL West opponents.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of Tarik Skubal’s last four road appearances as a starter.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

  • William Contreras has hit a home run in three of the Brewers’ last four playoff games as home favorites.
  • Jacob Misiorowski has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against NL West opponents.
  • Jacob Misiorowski has recorded 10+ strikeouts in four of his five previous home appearances against NL West opponents.
  • Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last 12 home games against NL West opponents.
  • Jacob Misiorowski ranks 1st in the league for total Strikeouts (252) this season.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

  • Max Muncy has hit a home run in four of the Dodgers’ last five playoff games.
  • Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances.
  • Tarik Skubal has recorded eight or more strikeouts in five of his last six road appearances against NL Central opponents.
  • Freddie Freeman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 playoff appearances with his team as a road underdog.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Brewers rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1422).
  • The Brewers rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.258).
  • The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.218).
  • The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for hits allowed this season (1159).

Brewers vs Dodgers Prediction

You can make a case for either of these teams given the pitching matchup. Skubal has allowed 30 hits and 9 runs in his last 38 innings, and the Dodgers have won his last 8 starts. Misiorowski has allowed 21 hits and 8 runs in his last 27.2 innings, and the Brewers have won his last 10 starts. This is as elite as it gets, and trying to find an edge is splitting hairs. With that said, it’s a pick-em price, and the Brewers are at home where they’ve won 55 games and posted the best record in baseball. At home through 95 innings, Misiorowski has a 1.52 ERA and a .158 allowed batting average. I’ll side with the Brewers because of home field, but boy, this should be a great game regardless, and the margins are slim.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -113

Need More? Get Premium Picks

Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

Related Articles

Back to top button