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Brewers vs Marlins Prediction 4/18/26 MLB Picks Today

Milwaukee Brewers (11-8) vs. Miami Marlins (9-11)
April 18, 2026 4:10 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins -115 / Milwaukee Brewers -105; Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Brewers vs Marlins Prediction for this MLB matchup on Saturday, April 18th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Miami Marlins Preview

The Miami Marlins have a 9-11 record this season and are sitting in the second place of the NL East. They have a 7-4 home record and are coming off a 5-7 home loss against the Brewers. Their previous three games were a 3-6 and a 5-6 road loss, and a 10-4 road win to the Braves.


The Marlins have a .257 batting average this season, .331 OBP and .402 Slugging percentage. Miami’s pitching staff has a 4.17 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. Otto Lopez is the team’s best hitter with a .347 batting average. Liam Hicks leads the team in RBI with 18, also adding a team‑high 4 home runs.

Sandy Alcantara (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins, and he has a 2-1 record, 2.67 ERA and 0.86 WHIP.

Milwaukee Brewers Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers have a 11-8 record this season and are sitting in the third place of the NL Central. They have a 4-3 away record and are coming off a 7-5 road win against the Marlins. Their previous three games were a 2-1 and a 2-1 home win, and a 7-9 home loss against the Blue Jays.

The Brewers have a .238 batting average this season, .340 OBP and .376 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.97 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. William Contreras is the team’s best hitter with a .309 batting average. Garrett Mitchell leads the team in RBI with 16, and Gary Sanchez adds a team‑high 5 home runs.

Brandon Woodruff (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, and he has a 1-0 record, 4.32 ERA and 1.08 WHIP.

Milwaukee Brewers @ Miami Marlins Betting Trends: April 18, 2026

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Sandy Alcantara      Record this season: 2-1      ERA: 2.67
  • Home Record: 2-0
  • Last 5 against Brewers: 2-1

Why the Miami Marlins will win

  • The Brewers have lost seven of their last eight games against National League opponents.
  • The Marlins have won seven of their last eight day games at LoanDepot Park following an extra innings loss.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last eight day games at LoanDepot Park following an extra innings loss.
  • The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Marlins have led after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against the Brewers at LoanDepot Park.
  • The Brewers have lost the first inning in four of their last five road games against National League opponents.
  • The Marlins have led after 5 innings in six of their last eight day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

 

  • Probable Starting Pitcher: Brandon Woodruff      Record this season: 1-0      ERA: 4.32
  • Road Record: 0-0
  • Last 5 against Marlins: 3-0

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

  • The Brewers have won each of their last eight games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a road win.
  • The Marlins have lost four of their last five games as favorites following an extra innings loss.
  • The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last 11 games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in 26 of their last 29 games as home favorites against National League opponents following a loss.
  • The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight road games against NL East opponents.
  • The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five day games.
  • The Marlins have lost the first inning in four of their last five day games.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Marlins’ last seven games following an extra innings loss have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Brewers’ last six games after going to extra innings have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last seven day games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Brewers’ last six games.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Sandy Alcantara has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances with the Marlins as favorites.
  • Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances.
  • Sandy Alcantara has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances.
  • Kyle Stowers has hit a home run in three of his last seven home appearances against NL opponents.
  • Xavier Edwards ranks T4th in the league in Hits (26) this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

  • Brice Turang has hit two home runs in each of the Brewers’ last two day games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Brandon Woodruff has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last 11 appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Brandon Woodruff has recorded a win in each of his last five road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Brice Turang ranks T9th in the league in Steals (6) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Marlins rank 1st in the league for triples this season (8).
  • The Marlins rank 3rd in the league for steals this season (25).
  • The Brewers rank 1st in the league for steals this season (30).
  • The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (95).

Brewers vs Marlins Prediction

Both teams are tied 5-5 in their last 10 meetings but the Brewers are 3-1 in their last 4 visits in Miami.

In this Brewers vs Marlins Prediction, the Marlins are coming as -115 home favorites. The Brewers have stringed three straight wins after a six-game losing streak and will face Sandy Alcantara, who was lit up in his last start, with 7 earned runs against the Tigers. On the flip side, Brandon Woodruff is coming off a quality start and was very good against the Marlins last season and the Brewers have the 8th-best offense in baseball and we are getting them at an underdog price. Take the Brewers on the moneyline in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Milwaukee Brewers ML

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