Brewers vs Phillies Prediction 9/24/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Brewers vs Phillies Prediction for this MLB matchup on Thursday, September 24^th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Philadelphia Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies have a 87-71 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the NL East. They have a 42-35 home record and are coming off a 1-4 home loss against the Brewers. They will face the Rays next.

The Philadelphia Phillies have a .241 batting average this season, .312 OBP and .397 Slugging percentage. Philadelphia’s pitching staff has a 4.00 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Bryce Harper is the team’s best hitter with a .268 batting average. Kyle Schwarber leads the team in RBI with 95, adding a team-high 45 home runs.

Andrew Painter (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies, and he has a 3-10 record, 5.59 ERA and 1.42 WHIP.

Milwaukee Brewers Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers have a 99-59 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL Central. They have a 47-33 away record and are coming off a 4-1 road win against the Phillies. They will face the Cardinals next.

The Milwaukee Brewers have a .257 batting average this season, .339 OBP and .402 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.53 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. Jackson Chourio is the team’s best hitter with a .283 batting average. Brice Turang leads the team in RBI with 94, while Jake Bauers adds a team-high 26 home runs.

Bryse Wilson (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, and he has a 0-0 record, 3.67 ERA and 1.28 WHIP.

Milwaukee Brewers @ Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends: September 24, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Andrew Painter      Record this season: 3-10      ERA: 5.59
• Home Record: 2-6
• Last 5 against Brewers: 0-0

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Phillies have won seven of their last eight home games against NL opponents following a home loss.
• The Brewers have lost four of their last five road games against NL opponents following a win.
• The favorites have covered the run line in each of the Phillies’ last five games.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five road games against NL opponents following a win.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in five of their last six night games at Citizens Bank Park against NL Central opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Bryse Wilson      Record this season: 0-0      ERA: 3.67
• Road Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Phillies: 1-2

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Phillies have lost eight of their last nine games as home favorites against the Brewers following a loss.
• The Brewers have won each of their last seven night games after playing the previous day.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last nine Thursday night games as road underdogs against NL opponents.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as home favorites against the Brewers following a loss.
• The Brewers have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven night games against NL opponents.
• The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six Thursday night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Brewers’ last nine games as underdogs against NL opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Phillies’ last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Brewers’ last nine games.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Phillies’ last five games as home favorites.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last four games as home favorites against NL opponents.
• Andrew Painter has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with the Phillies as favorites.
• Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 home appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Kyle Schwarber ranks T1st in the league in Home Runs (45) this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Christian Yelich has hit at least one home run in four of his five previous Thursday appearances at Citizens Bank Park.
• William Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last 16 games against the Phillies.
• Jake Bauers ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.393) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1536).
• The Phillies are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
• The Brewers rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1381).
• The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (810).

Brewers vs Phillies Prediction

Both teams are tied 4-4 in their last 8 meetings and the Brewers are 3-1 in their last 4 visits in Philadelphia.

In this Brewers vs Phillies Prediction, the Phillies are coming as -115 home favorites. The Brewers have been in excellent form with a 7-2 record in their last 9 games and will face Andrew Painter who has been shaky at best and bad at home, with a 2-6 record and 6.11 ERA. During their last 10 games, the Brewers have a superior bullpen ERA and are far better against right-handed pitching, scoring 5.5 runs per game, while the Phillies 3.8. Take the Brewers to win this one.