Brewers vs Phillies Prediction 9/3/25 MLB Picks Today

The Philadelphia Phillies and Milwaukee Brewers meet Wednesday in MLB action at American Family Field. Here’s a Brewers vs Phillies Prediction. This article will include a Brewers vs Phillies Pick.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 80-58 on the year and play the Marlins, Mets, and Royals next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .258 on the season, have a .327 OBP, and a .424 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff has a 3.83 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 171 hits and 66 RBI, while Kyle Schwarber and Nick Castellanos have combined for 250 hits and 180 RBI.

Aaron Nola gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 3-7 with a 6.47 ERA and 66 strikeouts this season. Nola is 7-2 with a 2.64 ERA and 95 strikeouts in his career against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 85-54 on the year and play the Pirates, Rangers, and Cardinals next. The Milwaukee Brewers are batting .259 on the season, have a .333 OBP, and a .409 slugging percentage. The Milwaukee Brewers pitching staff has a 3.65 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Brice Turang leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 145 hits and 69 RBI while Sal Frelick and Christian Yelich have combined for 270 hits and 145 RBI.

Jose Quintana gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 10-5 with a 3.69 ERA and 77 strikeouts this season. Quintana is 1-2 with a 3.53 ERA and 78 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Brewers have won each of their last six night games against NL East opponents.
• The Phillies have lost eight of their last nine night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games against National League opponents following a win.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in six of their last seven night games following a home loss.
• The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last eight night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have lost the first inning in four of their last five games as underdogs.
• The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last nine games as underdogs.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The underdogs have won each of the Brewers’ last six games.
• The Brewers have lost each of their last four games as favorites.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents following a win.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 12 games as favorites.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in three of their last four night games.
• The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Brice Turang has hit a home run in three of the Brewers’ last four games against NL East opponents.
• Jose Quintana has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in night games.
• Jose Quintana has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last 10 appearances at American Family Field against opponents that held a winning record.
• Brice Turang has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances in night games.
• Danny Jansen has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL East opponents.
• Sal Frelick ranks 7th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.298) this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Alec Bohm has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances with the Phillies as underdogs against the Brewers.
• Aaron Nola has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last nine road appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances with the Phillies as underdogs against NL opponents.
• Bryson Stott has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Phillies as underdogs.
• Trea Turner ranks 2nd in the league in Hits (171) this season.

Brewers vs Phillies Prediction

Nola has been riding the struggle bus lately, allowing 38 hits and 25 earned runs in his last 29 innings. In 31 road innings, Nola has a 6.39 ERA and .279 allowed batting average. Quintana has pitched well overall this season, but through 51.2 home innings he has a 5.50 ERA and .248 allowed batting average. Two capable lineups and two pitchers who have had issues in these particular spots. I expect some offense in this contest. Give me the over on Wednesday night.