Brewers vs Pirates Prediction 6/23/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Brewers vs Pirates prediction for this MLB game on Monday, June 23rd at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 43-35 this year after they swept the Twins in three games by scores of 17-6, 9-0, and 9-8. In their game three win, Milwaukee led 9-3 in the fifth inning, but they allowed the next five runs, before securing the win. The Brewers recorded 17 hits in the game and they were led by Turang, who went 2-5 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. Milwaukee started Priester, who allowed nine hits and three earned runs over 3.1 innings, while Hall and Koenig each allowed two earned runs in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Brewers split two games with the Cubs and won three out of four against the Cardinals. Milwaukee has won seven of their last nine games and they are currently second in the NL Central standings. The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 362 runs with a .245 batting average and a .321 on base percentage this season. Christian Yelich has led Milwaukee with 14 home runs and 54 RBIs, while Jackson Chourio has added 12 home runs and 46 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Chad Patrick, who is 3-7 with a 3.50 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP over 79.2 innings pitched this year. 

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 31-48 this season after they lost two out of three against the Rangers by scores of 2-6, 2-3, and 8-3. In their game three win, Pittsburgh trailed 2-0 in the second inning, but they scored the next seven runs to pull away for the win. The Pirates recorded 15 hits in the game and they were led by Pham, who went 3-3 with three RBIs in the win. Pittsburgh started Falter, who allowed six hits and three earned runs over 5.1 innings for the win, while Ferguson, Santana, and Bednar finished out the game. 

Prior to that series, the Pirates lost two out of three against the Tigers and three out of four against the Cubs. Pittsburgh has lost six of their last eight games and they are currently last in the NL Central standings. The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 3.81 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and a .232 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 257 runs with a .227 batting average and a .303 on base percentage this season. Oneil Cruz has led Pittsburgh with 13 home runs and 31 RBIs, while Bryan Reynolds has added eight home runs and 39 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Braxton Ashcraft, who is 1-0 with a 1.54 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 11.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Brewers will beat the Pirates

• The Pirates have lost 12 of their last 13 road games against National League opponents following a win.
• The Brewers have won nine of their last 10 home games against NL Central opponents following a road win.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 home games against NL Central opponents following a road win.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 15 night games against NL Central opponents following a win.
• The Brewers have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Pirates’ last six road games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Nine of the Brewers’ last 10 night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last nine night games at American Family Field.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Pirates’ last six night games.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Christian Yelich has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Brewers’ last four games.
• Jackson Chourio has scored at least one run in each of his last four home appearances against the Pirates.
• Andrew Vaughn has recorded a Double in each of his three previous appearances at American Family Field.
• Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Rhys Hoskins has hit a home run in two of the Brewers’ last three games against opponents that held a losing record.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Andrew McCutchen has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 Monday night appearances against teams that held a winning record.
• Andrew McCutchen has hit a home run in three of his last five road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Oneil Cruz has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Pirates’ last four games against the Brewers.
• Jack Suwinski has scored at least one run in eight of his last 10 road appearances against NL Central opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (96).
• The Brewers rank 25th in the league for home runs this season (71).
• The Pirates rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (257).
• The Pirates rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (53).

Brewers vs Pirates Prediction 

Milwaukee comes into this contest looking for their fifth win in a row and they have scored at least eight runs in four straight. The Brewers are 23-15 at home this year, while the Pirates are 11-27 on the road. Pittsburgh has scored eight runs in two of their last four games and they will face Patrick, who has allowed nine earned runs and 13 hits in his last two starts. Pittsburgh is going with a bullpen game, but we can’t trust their offense. Take the Brewers -1.5 here.