Brewers vs Rangers Prediction 9/9/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Brewers vs Rangers Prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, September 9^th at the Globe Life Field in the second game of this series, with the Rangers having the 1-0 lead. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Texas Rangers Preview

The Texas Rangers have a 75-70 record this season and are sitting on the third place of the AL West. The Rangers have a 45-28 home record and are 63-79 in over/under. They are coming off a 5-0 home victory over the Brewers, and are 3-1 in their last 4 games. Under is 5-1 in their last 6 games and are playing the Astros and the Mets next.

The Rangers have a .237 batting average this season, .305 OBP and .387 slugging percentage. Texas’ pitching staff has a 3.43 ERA and 1.17 WHIP.  Josh Smith leads the Rangers with 115 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .254 batting average. Adolis Garcia leads the team in RBI, with 73, while Corey Seager adds a team-high 21 home runs.

Jack Leiter (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rangers, and he has a 9-8 record, 3.74 ERA and 1.29 WHIP.

Milwaukee Brewers Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers have an 89-56 record this season and are sitting on the first place of the NL Central. They have a 43-30 record and are 68-72 in over/under. They are coming off a 0-5 road defeat by the Rangers, and saw their three-game winning streak getting snapped. Under is 4-1 in their last 5 games and are playing the Cardinals and the Angels next.

The Brewers have a .259 batting average this season, .333 OBP and .407 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.61 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Brice Turang leads the Brewers with 152 hits, while Christian Yelich leads the team in RBI, with 92, adding a team-high 27 home runs. Sal Frelick is the team’s best hitter with a .297 batting average.

Chad Patrick (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, and he has a 3-8 record, 3.60 ERA and 1.30 WHIP.

Milwaukee Brewers @ Texas Rangers Betting Trends: September 9, 2025

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Jack Leiter      Record this season: 9-8      ERA: 3.74
• Home Record: 6-2
• Last 5 against Brewers: –

Why the Texas Rangers will win

• The home team has won each of the last four games between the Brewers and Rangers.
• The Brewers have lost four of their last five games against teams that held a winning record.
• The home team has covered the run line in each of the last four games between the Brewers and Rangers.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Rangers have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven games as favorites.
• The Rangers have led after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 games as favorites against National League opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Chad Patrick      Record this season: 3-8      ERA: 3.60
• Road Record: 1-4
• Last 5 against Rangers: –

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• The Brewers have won each of their last six games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Rangers have lost five of their last six games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a win.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last 11 games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a win.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Brewers’ last six night games against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Rangers’ last six games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last eight night games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last four games.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Corey Seager has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Brewers.
• Corey Seager has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances.
• Adolis Garcia has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four home appearances.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Christian Yelich has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances with his team as a road underdog against the Rangers.
• Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Rhys Hoskins has hit a home run in three of his last four Tuesday night appearances against AL teams that held a winning record.
• Sal Frelick ranks 8th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.297) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rangers rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.43).
• The Rangers rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (532).
• The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (736).
• The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for hits this season (1278).

Brewers vs Rangers Prediction

The Brewers are 8-2 in their last 10 head-to-head meetings against the Rangers, and are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Texas. Under is 4-2 in their last 6 meetings.

In this Brewers vs Rangers Prediction, the Rangers are coming as -115 home favorites. I don’t trust Chad Patrick on the road for the Brewers, as he has a 4.43 road ERA, and the Brewers have lost each of the last 8 games he has been on the mound. On the flip side, Leiter has been better at home, with a 3.09 ERA, and Texas has the 8^th-best bullpen to back him up. I like the value with the home team as small favorites, so take the Texas Rangers to take care of business at home.