Cardinals vs Mets Prediction 3/30/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Cardinals vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Monday, March 30th at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals are 2-1 this year after they lost game three against the Rays on Sunday afternoon by a score of 11-7. In game three, St. Louis nearly battled back from down 6-1 and 9-4, but they allowed two runs in the top of the ninth to seal the loss. The Cardinals recorded 11 hits in the game and they were led by Walker, who went 3-4 with one home run and three RBIs. May allowed 10 hits and six earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Pushard allowed three earned runs in relief. 

This season, St. Louis has a 7.07 ERA with a 1.93 WHIP and a .339 opponent batting average, while they have scored 22 runs with a .292 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. Alec Burleson has led the Cardinals with one home run and four RBIs, while Nolan Gorman has also added one home run and four RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Kyle Leahy, who went 4-2 with a 3.07 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 88.0 innings pitched last year. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 2-1 this season after they lost game three in their series with the Pirates by a score of 4-3 in extra innings on Sunday. New York tied the game at one in the second and at two in the fifth, but they allowed two runs in the 10th and couldn’t answer for the loss. The Mets recorded nine hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Soto, who went 2-5 with two RBIs. McLean allowed four hits and two earned runs over 5.0 innings in the no decision, while Lovelady allowed two hits and one earned run for the loss. 

This season, New York has a 3.00 ERA with a 1.37 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while they have scored 18 runs with a .245 batting average and a .349 on base percentage. Luis Robert has led the Mets with one home run and five RBIs, while Brett Baty has added zero home runs and three RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Clay Holmes, who went 12-8 with a 3.53 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over 165.2 innings pitched last season. 

Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win

• The Cardinals have won each of their last six games as home underdogs following a loss.
• The Mets have lost each of their last three games as road favorites after going to extra innings.
• The Cardinals have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a home loss.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
• The Cardinals have led after 3 innings in four of their last five home games against National League opponents.
• The Cardinals have led after 5 innings in each of their last four home games against opponents that held a winning record.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Cardinals have lost each of their last eight night games against the Mets following a loss.
• The Mets have won 10 of their last 11 road openers against National League opponents.
• The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight night games against the Mets at Busch Stadium following a loss.
• The Mets have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games at Busch Stadium following a loss.
• The Mets have won the first inning in three of their last four road games.
• The Cardinals have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games against NL East opponents.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight night games against the Cardinals at Busch Stadium.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Mets’ last 10 night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Cardinals’ last eight games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Mets’ last 11 night games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cardinals’ last four home games against NL East opponents.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

• Alec Burleson has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
• Masyn Winn has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against the Mets after playing the previous day.
• Alec Burleson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cardinals’ last nine night games.
• Victor Scott II ranks T2nd in the league in Steals (2) this season.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Francisco Lindor has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four night games.
• Jorge Polanco has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances against the Cardinals.
• Luis Robert has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with his team as a favorite against NL Central opponents.
• Luis Robert ranks T6th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.571) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Cardinals rank 30th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.339).
• The Cardinals rank 30th in the league for hits allowed this season (41).
• The Mets rank T1st in the league for triples this season (2).
• The Mets rank T27th in the league for doubles this season (2).

Cardinals vs Mets Prediction 

Both teams were able to get a series win to start the season, but they also both lost on Sunday. St. Louis has scored a ton of runs through three games, but they have also allowed 23 runs. The Cardinals are starting Leahy, who was solid in limited action last year. New York has played in back to back extra inning games and they are starting Holmes, who pitched well in his return to starting last year. St. Louis is hitting the ball better to start, but they have a team ERA over seven. Take the Mets on the road here.