Cardinals vs Mets Prediction 5/3/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Cardinals vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, May 3rd at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals are 14-19 this year after they lost game one by a score of 9-3. St. Louis led 1-0 in the first inning and 3-2 in the third, but they couldn’t score any runs in the final six innings in the loss. The Cardinals recorded nine hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Winn and Contreras, who both had one RBI in the loss. St. Louis started Gray, who allowed nine hits and four earned runs over 4.1 innings in the loss, while King, Munoz, and Helsley all allowed one earned run in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Cardinals split four games with the Reds and won two out of three against the Brewers before that. St. Louis has lost four of their last six games, and they are currently fourth in the NL Central standings. The St. Louis pitching staff has a 4.31 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .244 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 150 runs with a .256 batting average and a .329 on-base percentage this season. Lars Nootbaar has led St. Louis with five home runs, 18 RBIs, and four stolen bases, while Brendan Donovan has added three home runs and 17 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Erick Fedde, who is 1-3 with a 4.68 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP over 32.2 innings pitched this year. 

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 22-11 this season after they won game one by a score of 9-3 on Friday night. New York was down 3-2 in the third, but they scored the last seven runs in the game to pull away with the win. The Mets recorded 17 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Alvarez, who went 3-5 with three RBIs in the win. New York started Holmes, who allowed eight hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Butto and Stanek fired three scoreless innings out of the bullpen. 

Prior to this series, the Mets lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks and split four games with the Nationals. New York has split their last six games, and they are currently first in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 2.69 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 159 runs with a .250 batting average and a .329 on-base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with eight home runs and 30 RBIs, while Brandon Nimmo has added seven home runs and 22 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Tylor Megill, who is 3-2 with a 1.74 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 31.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Mets will beat the Cardinals

• The Mets have won each of their last nine games against the Cardinals.
• The Cardinals have lost each of their last seven games against the Mets following a loss.
• The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games after playing the previous day.
• The Mets have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against the Cardinals.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games against the Cardinals.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last five day games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Cardinals’ last 10 day games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Mets’ last five games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cardinals’ last six games as underdogs.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Mets’ last 11 day games.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

• Willson Contreras has hit a home run in three of his last six home appearances against NL East opponents.
• Masyn Winn has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against the Mets after playing the previous day.
• Willson Contreras has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Masyn Winn has scored at least one run in each of his last seven home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Masyn Winn has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Erick Fedde has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
• Brendan Donovan has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cardinals’ last 15 home games against NL opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Jeff McNeil has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances with the Mets as road favorites against the Cardinals.
• Pete Alonso has hit a home run in four of the Mets’ last five games at Busch Stadium against opponents that held a losing record.
• Juan Soto has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
• Jeff McNeil has recorded at least one Single in each of the Mets’ last seven games at Busch Stadium.
• Pete Alonso has scored at least one run in eight of the Mets’ last nine road games.
• Tylor Megill has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
• Jeff McNeil has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances against the Cardinals after playing the previous day.

Cardinals vs Mets Prediction 

New York comes into this contest with one of the best records in the MLB to start the season, but they are just 9-8 on the road this year. The Mets have scored at least eight runs in three of their last five games, and they have one of the best team ERA in the MLB. St. Louis is 10-6 at home, but their pitching staff has allowed nine runs in back-to-back games. New York has the starting pitcher advantage in this matchup, as Megill has been dominant, so I will take the Mets -1.5 here.