Cardinals vs Phillies Prediction 8/10/26 MLB Picks Today
Philadelphia Phillies (63-56) vs. St. Louis Cardinals (59-59)
August 10, 2026 7:45 pm EDT
The Line: St. Louis Cardinals -111 / Philadelphia Phillies -109; Over/Under: 9
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In this article we will formulate a Cardinals vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Monday, August 10th at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview
The St. Louis Cardinals are 59-59 this season after they won two out of three against the Rockies by scores of 3-2, 6-8, and 7-4. In game three, St. Louis blew a 4-1 lead, but they scored three runs in the eighth to get the win. The Cardinals recorded 14 hits in the game and they were led by Wetherholt, who went 2-3 with two RBIs. McGreevy allowed eight hits and three earned runs over 5.2 innings, while Soriano got the win and O’Brien picked up the save. Prior to that series, St. Louis won two out of three against the Yankees, but lost two out of three against the Blue Jays before that.
This season, St. Louis has a 4.14 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP and a .254 opponent batting average, while they have scored 515 runs with a .241 batting average and a .316 on base percentage. Jordan Walker has led the Cardinals with 23 home runs and 83 RBIs, while Alec Burleson has added 19 home runs and 78 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Hunter Dobbins, who is 2-2 with a 3.60 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over 40.0 innings pitched this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 63-56 this year after they lost two out of three against the Blue Jays by scores of 4-5, 5-7, and 7-6. In game three, Philadelphia blew a 5-2 lead in the eighth inning, but they scored two runs in the bottom of the 12th for the win. The Phillies recorded 10 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Schwarber, who went 2-3 with two home runs and four RBIs. Luzardo allowed four hits and two earned runs over 7.0 innings, while Kilian picked up the win. Prior to that series, Philadelphia won three out of four against the Nationals and two out of three against the Orioles.
This season, Philadelphia has a 4.19 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .251 opponent batting average, while they have scored 528 runs with a .238 batting average and a .308 on base percentage. Kyle Schwarber has led the Phillies with 35 home runs and 68 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added 25 home runs and 71 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Andrew Painter, who is 1-8 with a 6.48 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP over 75.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win
- The Phillies have lost each of their last seven games as underdogs against National League opponents following a win.
- The Cardinals have won four of their last five night games against NL East opponents.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against National League opponents following a win.
- The Cardinals have covered the run line in each of their last four games against the Phillies.
- The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 Monday games as road underdogs.
- The Cardinals have led after 3 innings in three of their last four home games.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won each of their last five games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents following a home win.
- The Cardinals have lost each of their last four games as favorites against the Phillies following a win.
- The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against National League opponents following a win.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last five games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents following a home win.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against National League opponents.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last four road games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Cardinals’ last 11 home games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Phillies’ last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Phillies’ last eight night games against National League opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in 21 of the last 26 night games between the Phillies and Cardinals at Busch Stadium.
St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts
- Masyn Winn has hit a home run in two of the Cardinals’ last three games against the Phillies.
- Hunter Dobbins has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last eight appearances.
- Jordan Walker has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances.
- Jordan Walker ranks 10th in the league in Hits (127) this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- J.T. Realmuto has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Phillies as road underdogs.
- Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last nine games against NL opponents.
- Kyle Schwarber ranks T1st in the league in Home Runs (35) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Cardinals rank 28th in the league for doubles this season (164).
- The Cardinals rank 4th in the league for strikeouts against this season (905).
- The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1168).
- The Phillies are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
Cardinals vs Phillies Prediction
St. Louis comes into this matchup after winning three of their last four games and they have scored 13 runs in their last two. The Cardinals are 30-33 at home this year, while the Phillies are 31-26 on the road. Philadelphia has lost three of their last five games and they have allowed 5+ runs in four of those five. The Phillies are starting Painter, who has allowed 1, 2, 6, 5, and 6 earned runs in his last five outings, while Dobbins has allowed 2, 4, 0, 3, and 3 earned runs in his last five outings. Take the Cardinals at home here.