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Chicago Cubs vs Miami Marlins Prediction 4-20-24 Picks

Miami Marlins (4-16) vs. Chicago Cubs (12-7)
April 20, 2024 7:40 pm EDT
The Line: Chicago Cubs -161 / Miami Marlins +137; Over/Under: +9
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Marlins and Chicago Cubs meet Saturday in a MLB doubleheader at Wrigley Field. Here’s a Marlins vs Cubs prediction.

Marlins Betting Preview

The Marlins are 4-16 after losses to the Braves and Giants. The Marlins have scored 10 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 10 games. The Marlins are 0-11 this season when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Bryan De La Cruz leads the Marlins with 24 hits and 11 RBI, while Luis Arraez and Jazz Chisholm Jr. have combined for 38 hits and 12 RBI. Jesus Luzardo and Roddery Munoz will get the ball today for the Marlins.

Cubs Betting Preview

The Cubs are 12-7 on the year after wins over the Mariners and Diamondbacks. The Cubs have scored 24 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 4 of their last 8 games. The Cubs have won 10 of their last 12 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Michael Busch leads the Cubs with 19 hits and 13 RBI, while Ian Happ and Dansby Swanson have combined for 36 hits and 20 RBI. Javier Assad and Shota Imanaga will get the ball today for the Cubs.

Chicago Cubs Team Facts

  • The Cubs have won each of their last seven home games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last six games.
  • The Cubs have lost the first inning in each of their last five Saturday games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
  • The Cubs have led after 7 innings in each of their last seven home games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cubs’ last six games as favorites against NL East opponents.

Miami Marlins Team Facts

  • The Marlins have lost eight of their last nine games against NL Central opponents.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against NL Central opponents.
  • The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games.
  • The Marlins have won the first inning in each of their last five Saturday games as underdogs against the Cubs.

Marlins vs Cubs prediction

Game 1 Prediction: Jesus Luzardo is better than what he’s shown up to this point, but he’s still a pitcher who has allowed 21 hits and 17 runs through 20 innings. Not great. The Cubs are on a roll offensively and if Luzardo’s struggles continue, this game could get ugly. I have to roll with the Cubs in the first game of the doubleheader.

Game 2 Prediction: Roddery Muñoz is making his major league debut and nobody knows what to expect. I have a rule of fading pitchers making their big league debut because of a lack of sample size. Shota Imanaga has been flawless through his first 15.1 innings. The Marlins are a joke of a baseball team. I’m rolling with the Cubs to sweep the doubleheader. 

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Chicago Cubs / Chicago Cubs

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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