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Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 5-10-24 Picks

Cleveland Guardians (24-14) vs. Chicago White Sox (10-28)
May 10, 2024 7:40 pm EDT
The Line: Chicago White Sox -105 / Cleveland Guardians -115; Over/Under: +7.5
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In this article we will formulate a Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 10th at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in this series. 

White Sox Looking for Three Straight 

The Chicago White Sox are 10-28 this year and they have won four of their last six games. Chicago picked up the win in game one of this series by a score of 3-2 on Thursday night. Prior to this series, the White Sox lost two out of three against Tampa Bay, won two out of three against St. Louis, and lost three straight to the Twins. Chicago has been very bad for most of the season and they are dead last in the AL Central, but they have some momentum coming into this game. 

The Chicago pitching staff has a 4.80 ERA, a 1.41 WHIP, and a .249 opponent batting average. The White Sox offense has scored 110 runs with a .212 batting average and a .273 on base percentage. Andrew Benintendi is batting .189 with three home runs and 13 RBI’s for the White Sox this year. Chicago has scored the least amount of runs in the MLB this season, but they have scored at least four in eight of their last 13 games. 

Guardians Look to Bounce Back 

The Cleveland Guardians are 24-14 this season and they have won four of their last six games, but have lost two out of their last three. Prior to losing the first game in this series, the Guardians won two out of three against Detroit, won two out of three against the Angels, and lost two out of three against Houston. Cleveland hasn’t played their best in their last four games, but they were lucky to have Detroit fall apart late in game three on Wednesday. 

The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.52 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average. The Guardians offense has scored 184 runs with a .240 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Josh Naylor is batting .277 with 10 home runs and 29 RBI’s for the Guardians this season. Cleveland is ninth in runs scored so far this season and they have scored at least four runs in four of their last six games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Garrett Crochet, who is 2-4 with a 5.31 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP over 40.2 innings pitched this year. Crochet has allowed three earned runs in his last two starts, but did allow 17 earned runs in the previous three outings. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Carlos Carrasco, who is 2-2 with a 5.67 ERA and a 1.62 WHIP over 33.1 innings pitched this season. Carrasco has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts, but did allow eight and five earned runs against Houston and Boston in recent starts. 

Why the Chicago White Sox will win

  • The Guardians have lost five of their last six games as road favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • The White Sox have won three of their last four games as home underdogs against the Guardians.
  • The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • The White Sox have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games at Guaranteed Rate Field.
  • The White Sox have won the first inning in each of their last three games as underdogs against the Guardians.
  • The White Sox have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games as home underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The White Sox have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine games as home underdogs against American League opponents.

Why the Cleveland Guardians will win

  • The White Sox have lost nine of their last 10 night games following a home win.
  • The Guardians have won four of their last five road games following a loss.
  • The Guardians have covered the run line in 12 of their last 15 night games following a road loss.
  • The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as underdogs against the Guardians following a home win.

Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 

The White Sox were able to pick up the win in game one of this series on Thursday night and they have played much better in their last six games. Chicago is 4-2 during those six games and their pitching staff has been pretty solid. Cleveland is leading the AL Central and they are 12-8 on the road, but they did look shaky in games two and three against Detroit, before losing game one here. I don’t like either of these starting pitchers and I think we are going to see plenty of runs, so my Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians prediction is for this game to go over the total. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Over 7.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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