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Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction 5-10-24 Picks

St. Louis Cardinals (15-21) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (21-15)
May 10, 2024 8:10 pm EDT
The Line: Milwaukee Brewers -115 / St. Louis Cardinals -103; Over/Under: +8.5
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The St. Louis Cardinals and the Milwaukee Brewers meet Friday in MLB action from American Family Field. Here’s a Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals prediction. This will be the second installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview

The Cardinals played a pair of games versus the New York Mets this week. St. Louis lost both of those however, falling 4-3 on Monday and 7-5 in the Tuesday matchup. (Wednesday’s game was called off due to weather.) On Thursday versus the Brewers, the Cardinals were out-hit 10-6 in a 7-1 loss. Starting pitcher Sonny Gray gave up six earned in 5.0 innings on seven hits and a walk.

Lance Lynn will make the start for the Cardinals on Friday. This year Lynn is 1-0 with a 3.28 ERA and 33 strikeouts over 35.2 innings in seven starts. Lynn is 137-95 with a 3.73 ERA in 348 career games (324 starts).

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

Over on the Brewers’ side, they took on the Kansas City Royals in their last set. Milwaukee was only able to win one of those games—6-5 on Tuesday. Otherwise the Brewers fell 3-2 in game one and 6-4 in the rubber match. In the Thursday game Milwaukee scored four in the first two innings and cruised from there. Rhys Hoskins (two RBI), Jake Bauers and Joey Ortiz each had a home run.

As starter for Friday’s matchup it’s looking like the Brewers will send out No. 5 prospect Robert Gasser. He joined the team on Thursday following a call-up. Gasser posted a 5.25 ERA with 17 Ks in 12 innings in Triple-A Nashville in three starts this season. The Brewers will face the Pirates following this series.

Cardinals vs Brewers Injury Notes

Cardinals catcher Wilson Contreras was placed on the 10-day Injured List Wednesday due to a fractured left forearm.

Brewers SP DL Hall (knee) is playing catch and progressing in his rehabilitation but still doesn’t have a timeline for a return to the field.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

  • The Brewers have won each of their last eight games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Cardinals have lost each of their last six games after playing the previous day.
  • The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games after playing the previous day.
  • The Brewers have covered the run line in six of their last seven games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last three home games.
  • The Cardinals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four road games.

Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win

  • The Cardinals have won seven of their last eight night games against the Brewers at American Family Field following a road loss.
  • The Brewers have lost each of their last four night games at American Family Field following a home win.
  • The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games following a home win.
  • The Cardinals have covered the run line in each of their last six night games against the Brewers following a road loss.

Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction

I’ll probably just stay with the Brewers here. Milwaukee had a great all-around game on Thursday. William Contreras and Christian Yelich combined for six hits, three runs and two RBI by themselves, and six different players bagged at least one hit. The bullpen was great as well on 5.0 innings, three hits, six Ks, no earned and no walks.

It’ll be interesting to see what Gasser can do. Another good offensive performance would really give him a cushion, though. St. Louis has given up four or more runs in five straight games, so the opportunities should be there.

Andrew's Free Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -115

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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