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Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 5-1-24 Picks

Minnesota Twins (16-13) vs. Chicago White Sox (6-24)
May 1, 2024 2:10 pm EDT
The Line: Chicago White Sox +170 / Minnesota Twins -200; Over/Under: +8.5
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In this article we will formulate a Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, May 1st at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in this series. 

White Sox are Improving 

The Chicago White Sox are 6-24 this season and they have won three of their last four games. Chicago has lost the first two games in this series, but they have only lost by one run in each game. Prior to this series, the White Sox swept the Rays in three games and were swept by the Twins in four games. Chicago only has six wins on the season, but they have scored at least four runs in four of their last five games.

The Chicago pitching staff has a 5.05 ERA, a 1.45 WHIP, and a .255 opponent batting average. The White Sox offense has scored 84 runs with a .212 batting average and a .278 on base percentage. Andrew Benintendi is batting .208 with three home runs and 13 RBI’s for the White Sox this season. The White Sox are the last team in the MLB for runs scored and they are second to last in team ERA. 

Twins are Red Hot 

The Minnesota Twins are 16-13 this year and they have won nine games in a row. Minnesota has won the first two games in this series by scores of 6-5 and 3-2. Prior to this series, the Twins swept the Angels in three games and swept the White Sox in four games. Despite the lengthy winning streak, Minnesota is only fourth in the AL Central, behind the Guardians, Royals, and Tigers. 

The Minnesota pitching staff has a 3.92 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .244 opponent batting average. The Twins offense has scored 133 runs with a .235 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Edouard Julien is batting .223 with seven home runs and 12 RBI’s for the Twins this year. Minnesota has scored at least five runs in eight of their last nine games, while allowing more than three runs just four times during the winning streak. 

Starting Pitchers 

The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Chris Flexen, who is 1-3 with a 5.11 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP over 24.2 innings pitched this year. Flexen has bounced between the rotation and bullpen so far this year, but he did throw 5.0 shutout innings against the Rays in his last start. Flexen allowed two hits and three walks, while striking out two batters in that start. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Bailey Ober, who is 2-1 with a 4.21 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP over 25.2 innings pitched this year. Ober has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts, but did allow eight earned runs and nine hits in 1.1 innings against the Royals five starts ago. 

Chicago White Sox Team Facts

  • The White Sox have lost each of their last six games against AL Central opponents.
  • The home team has covered the run line in each of the White Sox’s last seven games.
  • The White Sox have led after 5 innings in each of their last five day games against American League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the White Sox’s last seven day games at Guaranteed Rate Field.

Minnesota Twins Team Facts

  • The Twins have won each of their last nine games.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as road favorites against the White Sox following a win.
  • The Twins have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as road favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as road favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four Wednesday games as road favorites.

Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins Prediction

Minnesota comes into this game looking for their tenth straight win and they have won six games in a row against this White Sox team. Chicago has been one of the worst teams in the MLB to start this season, but they have played sightly better over their last five games. The White Sox need to find some better pitching, but I don’t think Flexen is the answer in this game. On the other side, Bailey Ober has been solid over his last four starts and shouldn’t have too many issues with this White Sox lineup. My Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins prediction is the Twins to win by two runs. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Twins -1.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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