MLB Picks

Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 7-10-24 Picks

Minnesota Twins (52-39) vs. Chicago White Sox (26-67)
July 10, 2024 5:30 pm EDT
The Line: Chicago White Sox +130 / Minnesota Twins -154; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, July 10th at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for the doubleheader. 

White Sox Continue to Rack Up Losses 

The Chicago White Sox are 26-67 this season and they have lost four of their last five games. Chicago lost the first game in this series on Monday night and they allowed eight runs in the game. Prior to this series, the White Sox lost two out of three against the Marlins, lost two out of three against the Guardians, and won two out of three against the Rockies. Chicago is 2-6 in their last eight games and they are last in the AL Central. 

The Chicago pitching staff has a 4.58 ERA, a 1.37 WHIP, and a .246 opponent batting average. The White Sox offense has scored 301 runs with a .221 batting average and a .284 on base percentage. Paul DeJong is batting .229 with 16 home runs and 36 RBI’s for the White Sox this season. Chicago has scored at least four runs in eight of their last ten games. 

Twins are Charging in the Central 

The Minnesota Twins are 52-39 this year and they have won four of their last five games. Minnesota won game one in this series by a score of 8-6 on Monday night. Prior to this series, the Twins won two out of three against the Astros, won two out of three against the Tigers, and won two out of three against the Mariners. Minnesota is 7-2 in their last nine games and they are second in the AL Central. 

The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.16 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average. The Twins offense has scored 455 runs with a .256 batting average and a .326 on base percentage. Carlos Correa is batting .303 with 12 home runs and 46 RBI’s for the Twins this season. Minnesota has scored at least eight runs in four of their last five games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Chicago in game one is Erick Fedde, who is 6-3 with a 3.13 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 106.1 innings pitched this year. The projected starting pitcher for the White Sox in game two is Drew Thorpe, who is 3-1 with a 3.71 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 26.2 innings pitched this season. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota in game one is Bailey Ober, who is 8-4 with a 4.12 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP over 94.0 innings pitched this year. The projected starting pitcher for the Twins in game two is Pablo Lopez, who is 8-7 with a 5.18 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 99.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the White Sox will beat the Twins

  • The White Sox have won three of their last four night games after playing the previous day.
  • The Twins have lost three of their last four road games against AL Central opponents.
  • The White Sox have covered the run line in eight of their last nine night games against AL Central opponents.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last three night games at Guaranteed Rate Field following a road win.

Why the Twins will beat the White Sox

  • The White Sox have lost each of their last 11 games at Guaranteed Rate Field following an extra innings loss.
  • The Twins have won each of their last nine games against the White Sox.
  • The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last eight road games after playing the previous day.
  • The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine home games against American League opponents following a home loss.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Twins’ last eight games have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the White Sox’s last five games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the White Sox’s last five games against American League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last three road games against AL Central opponents.

Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Andrew Vaughn has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Andrew Vaughn has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Nicky Lopez has recorded at least one Double in each of the White Sox’s last three night games.
  • Martin Maldonado has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Andrew Vaughn has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Yoan Moncada has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 12 Tuesday appearances.
  • Luis Robert has scored at least one run in seven of the White Sox’s last eight night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Byron Buxton has recorded at least one Double in each of his last six appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Trevor Larnach has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Max Kepler has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against the White Sox.
  • Jose Miranda has recorded at least one Single in each of the Twins’ last 12 games.
  • Byron Buxton has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances in night games.
  • Byron Buxton has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Twins’ last six road games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Max Kepler has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 appearances against the White Sox.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Chicago White Sox rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (301).
  • The Chicago White Sox rank 30th in the league for triples this season (5).
  • The Minnesota Twins rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (186).
  • The Minnesota Twins rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (827).

Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 

The Twins were able to pick up the win in game one of this series on Monday, before game two was postponed due to rain. Minnesota is one of the hottest teams in the MLB right now and they are 25-21 on the road. Chicago is just 16-30 at home this season and they are the lowest scoring team in the MLB, but their offense has been better over the last ten games. I think Minnesota has the advantage with Ober on the mound in game one, but I can’t back Pablo Lopez in game two. My Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins prediction is for the Twins to win by at least two runs in game one and the White Sox to win game two. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Twins -1.5 and White Sox ML

Need More? Get Premium Picks

David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

Related Articles

Back to top button