Colorado Rockies (32-60) vs. Cincinnati Reds (44-48)
July 11, 2024 1:10 pm EDT
The Line: Cincinnati Reds -213 / Colorado Rockies +177; Over/Under: +9
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, July 11th at the Great American Ballpark.
Rockies Held On
It wasn’t a pretty game by any means, but the Rockies were able to hold on for the 6-5 victory. The run they scored in the top 8th ended up being the winning run. Sam Hilliard hit two home runs and drove in three RBIs. The Rockies are averaging 4.12 runs, while their pitching is giving up 5.87 runs per game. The offense is ranked 22nd in the league, while the pitching is ranked 30th. Ryan McMahon has hit 14 home runs and driven in 45 RBIs so far this season. Getting the start for the Rockies will be Austin Gomber who sits with a 2-5 record and an ERA of 4.47. In his last start against the Kansas City Royals, he went seven innings, giving up six hits and one run. The Rockies will face the Mets following this series.
Why the Rockies Will Beat the Reds
- The Reds have lost each of their last eight day games at Great American Ball Park following a loss.
- The Rockies have won seven of their last eight Thursday games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight day games at Great American Ball Park following a home loss.
- The road team has covered the run line in 12 of the Reds’ last 15 games.
Reds Fell Just Short
The Reds scored three runs in the bottom of the 9th, but it wasn’t enough as they ended up losing 6-5. Jonathan India did hit a home run and drove in two RBis. The Reds are averaging 4.35 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.06 runs per game. The offense is ranked 16th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 10th. Elly De La Cruz has hit 15 home runs and driven in 40 RBIs. Getting the start for the Reds will be Hunter Greene, who sits with a 5-4 record and an ERA of 3.34. In his last start against the Detroit Tigers, he dominated, going seven innings, giving up three hits and zero runs.
Why the Reds Will Beat the Rockies
- The Reds have won each of their last 10 games as favorites against the Rockies following a home loss.
- The Rockies have lost each of their last six day games following a win.
- The Reds have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against NL West opponents.
- The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as road underdogs following a win.
Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction
Runs are going to be hard to come by in this game. Gomber gave up only one run in his last start, and the Reds bats are going to be ice-cold here. Greene is going to follow up his start in the last game of seven innings of shutout ball with another strong start. The Rockies and Reds are both going to struggle to get the offense going here, and this game is going to end up staying under the total.
