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Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 8-28-24 MLB Picks

Kansas City Royals (75-58) vs. Cleveland Guardians (75-58)
August 28, 2024 1:10 pm EDT
The Line: Cleveland Guardians -135 / Kansas City Royals +115; Over/Under: +7.5
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In this article we will formulate a Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, August 28th at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game four in the series.

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 75-58 this year and they have lost three of their last five games. Cleveland has lost the first three games in this series and they have allowed 19 runs. Prior to this series, the Guardians won two out of three against the Rangers, lost two out of three against the Yankees, and lost all three against the Brewers. Cleveland is just 3-9 in their last 12 games and they are tied with KC in the AL Central. 

The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.83 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .234 opponent batting average. The Guardians offense has scored 601 runs with a .236 batting average and a .308 on base percentage. Jose Ramirez is batting .275 with 33 home runs and 104 RBI’s for the Guardians this season. 

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 75-58 this year and they have won five of their last seven games. Kansas City has won the first three games in this series by scores of 4-3, 9-4, and 6-1. Prior to this series, the Royals lost two out of three against the Phillies, won two out of three against the Angels, and swept the Reds in three games. Kansas City is 10-3 in their last 13 games and they are tied for first in the Central. 

The Kansas City pitching staff has a 3.86 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .245 opponent batting average. The Royals offense has scored 649 runs with a .258 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Bobby Witt is batting .346 with 27 home runs and 94 RBI’s for the Royals this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Tanner Bibee, who is 10-6 with a 3.46 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP over 138.0 innings pitched this year. Bibee has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Michael Wacha, who is 11-6 with a 3.32 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 133.0 innings pitched this season. Wacha has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. 

Why the Royals will beat the Guardians

  • The Guardians have lost each of their last eight home games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Royals have won each of their last six games as underdogs following a road win.
  • The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last six games following a road win.
  • The Guardians have lost the first inning in each of their last three Wednesday games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • The Royals have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as road underdogs.
  • The Royals have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games as road underdogs.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Royals’ last eight day games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Guardians’ last four day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last five day games.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

  • Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in three of the Guardians’ last six day games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one Double in four of the Guardians’ last five games against the Royals.
  • Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Guardians’ last six games as home favorites against the Royals.
  • Jose Ramirez has scored at least one run in 11 of the Guardians’ last 12 home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jose Ramirez has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Guardians’ last two day games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Steven Kwan has recorded a Single in each of the Guardians’ last four day games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in 24 of his last 27 appearances against the Royals.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

  • Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded a Double in four of the Royals’ last five games against AL opponents.
  • Michael Wacha has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances.
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Royals’ last seven Wednesday games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Michael Wacha has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances with the Royals as underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Salvador Perez has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his last eight appearances against the Guardians after playing the previous day.
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has scored at least one run in each of the Royals’ last eight Wednesday games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Royals’ last nine day games.
  • Kyle Isbel has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances against the Guardians after playing the previous day.
  • Paul DeJong has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances with the Royals against AL opponents.

Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 

Kansas City comes into this game looking to complete the four game sweep, which would put them in first place in the AL Central. The Royals are 34-30 on the road this season, while the Guardians are 40-24 at home. Cleveland has struggled over the last few months and their offense is not getting it done on a consistent basis right now. Kansas City is one of the hotter teams in the MLB and they are 9-1 in Wacha’s last 10 starts. Take the Royals to get another huge win here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Royals ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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