Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros Prediction 8-28-24 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros Prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, August 28th, at Citizens Bank Park.

Astros Bats Go Cold

The Astros bats on Tuesday couldn’t get anything going, and they ended up losing 4-0. Justin Verlander went five innings, giving up seven hits and four runs. The Astros are averaging 4.56 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.08 runs per game.

The offense is ranked 12th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 5th. Yordan Alveraz has hit 25 home runs and driven in 67 RBIs so far this season. Getting the start for the Astros will be Spencer Arrighetti, who sits with a 6-11 record and an ERA of 4.94. In his last start against the Baltimore Orioles, he went six innings, giving up three hits and zero runs. 

Why the Astros Will Beat the Phillies

• The Astros have won four of their last five games as underdogs against National League opponents following a road loss.
• The Phillies have lost three of their last four games as favorites against American League opponents following a home win.
• The Astros have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as underdogs.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four-day games following a home win.

Phillies Pitching Needs a Follow-Up Performance

The Phillies’ pitching was dominant on Tuesday, and they are going to need much of the same here. Aaron Nola went seven innings, giving up four hits and zero runs. The Phillies are averaging 4.89 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.08 runs per game.

The offense is ranked 5th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 6th. Kyle Schwarber has hit 28 home runs and driven in 82 RBIs. Getting the start for the Phillies will be Taijuan Walker, who sits with a 3-5 record and an ERA of 6.26. In his last start against the Kansas City Royals, he went three innings giving up eight hits and six runs. 

Why the Phillies Will Beat the Astros

• The Phillies have won each of their last four games against American League opponents.
• The Astros have lost five of their last six games against National League opponents.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Wednesday games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in four of their last five games against the Astros following a win.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros Prediction

This game is going to be high-scoring.  The Astros and Phillies are both good offensive teams and both are going to find success. Walker in his last start gave up six runs, and he sits with an ERA of 6.26. The Astros are going to have no issue running up the score here against him. I also don’t trust Arrighetti, even though he is coming off a good start. Back the under to cash here with ease.