
Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 5-18-24 Picks
Minnesota Twins (24-20) vs. Cleveland Guardians (28-17)
May 18, 2024 6:10 pm EDT
The Line: Cleveland Guardians -105 / Minnesota Twins -112; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Minnesota Twins and the Cleveland Guardians meet Saturday in MLB action from Progressive Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Minnesota Twins will start Bailey Ober here and Ober is 4-1 with a 3.77 ERA and 45 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Guardians, Ober is 1-1 with a 1.29 ERA and 21 strikeouts. The Cleveland Guardians will send Logan Allen to the mound here and is 4-2 with a 5.56 ERA and 36 strikeouts this season. In his career, Allen is 1-0 with a 3.09 ERA and 7 strikeouts against the Twins.
Minnesota Twins Recap
The Minnesota Twins come into this one looking to bounce back from a 3-2 loss to the Guardians, starting the series on the wrong foot with a 4th straight loss after their offensive struggle against the Yankees the series prior.
Twins Trying To Pick It Up Offensively
Entering Friday’s matchup, Willi Castro leads the Twins at the dish with 39 hits including 10 doubles and 3 triples as well as 14 RBIs and 6 stolen bases. Ryan Jeffers has a team-high 10 home runs, 31 RBIs and 12 doubles with a .283 batting average and .365 OBP. Carlos Santana has 7 home runs with 21 RBIs while Edouard Julien also has 7 home runs, 15 RBIs and 5 stolen bases but also has a team-high 53 strikeouts as well this season.
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The Twins have won seven of their last eight games against AL Central opponents.
- The Guardians have lost four of their last five home games against AL Central opponents following a home win.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight night games against AL Central opponents.
- The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last six road games against AL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Guardians have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five night games against AL Central opponents.
Cleveland Guardians Recap
The Cleveland Guardians will be looking to build some steam after their win over the Twins on Friday, building momentum after their series win over the Texas Rangers the series prior.
Guardians Starting To Heat Up
Going into Friday’s game, Steven Kwan leads the Guardians with 47 hits including 3 home runs, 11 RBIs, 6 doubles and a pair of triples with a .353 batting average and a .407 OBP. Josh Naylor has a team-high 12 home runs with 33 RBIs and 8 doubles while Jose Ramirez has 9 homers with a team-high 37 RBIs. Brayan Rocchio has a team-high 8 doubles and 7 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the Cleveland Guardians will win
- The Guardians have won each of their last eight Saturday games against the Twins.
- The Twins have lost eight of their last nine night games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Guardians have covered the run line in six of their last seven games against the Twins following a win.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against American League opponents following a road loss.
- The Guardians have led after 5 innings in each of their last five Saturday games against the Twins at Progressive Field.
Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Prediction
I’m on the Twins here. I know the Twins have really been struggling this week, looking like a completely different team than the Twins team that was drilling their opponents late in April and earlier this month. However, Bailey Ober’s been the consistent arm for the Twins when things weren’t going well for Minnesota and Logan Allen’s been one of the weakest links for the Guardians’ rotation this season. I think this ends up being a bit of a low-scoring battle, but one the Twins emerge from in the end. Give me Minnesota in this one.