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Cleveland Guardians vs NY Mets Prediction 5-21-24 Picks
NY Mets (21-25) vs. Cleveland Guardians (30-17)
May 21, 2024 6:10 pm EDT
The Line: Cleveland Guardians -116 / NY Mets -101; Over/Under: +9
(Get latest betting odds)
The New York Mets and the Cleveland Guardians meet Tuesday in MLB action from Progressive Field. Here’s a Cleveland Guardians vs NY Mets Prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The Mets took on the Miami Marlins in their last series. New York lost the first two installments of that set 8-0 and 10-9, but finished off with a Sunday win 7-3 to stop the sweep. On Monday versus Cleveland, the Mets had six team hits in a 3-1 loss. Tylor Megill finished with 5.0 innings, two earned, two walks and four hits in the start.
In the starting pitcher role for game two the Mets are sending out Adrian Houser. This year Houser is 0-3 with a 7.44 ERA in eight games (six starts). He has 17 Ks in 32.2 innings total. Houser is 31-37 with a 4.20 ERA in 137 career games (103 starts).
Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview
Over on the Guardians’ side, they played the Minnesota Twins over the weekend. Cleveland did well in that series, taking the sweep with wins 3-2, 11-4 and 5-2. On Monday in their opener versus the Mets, the Guardians scored twice in the first inning and never looked back. Starter Ben Lively managed 5.2 innings with one earned on six hits and no walks.
It’ll be Carlos Carrasco in the starting pitcher slot for the Guardians on Tuesday. So far this year Carrasco is 2-4 with a 5.16 ERA in nine starts with 34 Ks in 45.1 innings. Carrasco is 109-97 with a 4.08 career ERA in 312 games (265 starts) at the MLB level.
Mets vs Guardians Injury Notes
Mets DH JD Martinez was out of Sunday’s lineup due to flu-like symptoms.
Guardians LF Steven Kwan (hamstring) began participating in batting practice Friday.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Guardians’ last seven games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Mets’ last five night games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last six games as road underdogs.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last five night games between the Mets and Guardians at Progressive Field.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Josh Naylor has hit a home run in five of his last eight home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Andres Gimenez has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last seven appearances with the Guardians as favorites against NL opponents.
- Josh Naylor has scored at least one run in each of the Guardians’ last six night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Carlos Carrasco has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last 11 appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Ramon Laureano has recorded at least one Double in each of his last three appearances with his team as a favorite against NL opponents.
- Ramon Laureano has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six appearances with his team as a favorite against NL opponents.
- Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one Single in each of the Guardians’ last six games against NL opponents.
- Ramon Laureano has recorded at least one total base in each of his last six appearances with his team as a favorite against NL opponents.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Pete Alonso has hit at least one home run in three of the Mets’ last five games against AL Central opponents.
- Adrian Houser has recorded four or more strikeouts in four of his last five road appearances against AL Central opponents.
- J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five road appearances after playing the previous day.
- Pete Alonso has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Mets’ last six night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Francisco Lindor has scored a run in six of the Mets’ last seven games as road underdogs.
- Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 11 games as underdogs against AL opponents.
- J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six road appearances after playing the previous day.
Cleveland Guardians vs New York Mets Prediction
I’ll stay with the Guardians. Carrasco is pitching pretty well over his last three starts, even though he’s got just a 1-2 record in that time to show for it. Carrasco has given up six earned combined over 18.0 total innings. As for Houser, he’s got one earned on four hits and three walks over his last 4.0 innings.
On Monday in the opener the Guardians didn’t have the greatest offensive evening but the pitching more than made up for it. Cleveland’s bullpen was great on 3.0 innings, no earned, no hits and no walks. I like the Guardians to keep it going Tuesday.