MLB Picks

Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 5-21-24 Picks

Milwaukee Brewers (27-19) vs. Miami Marlins (15-33)
May 21, 2024 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Marlins +120 / Milwaukee Brewers -130; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction for this MLB Game on Tuesday, May 21st at the loanDepot Park. 

Brewers Offense Looks to Bounce Back

The Brewers sit with a 27-20 record overall, but on Monday they scored only two runs. Andruw Monasteiro finished with a home run and drove in two RBIs. The Brewers are averaging 5.13 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.18 runs per game. The offense is ranked 3rd in the league, while the pitching is ranked 11th. They are averaging 8.84 hits per game, which is 2nd in the league. William Contreras has hit seven home runs and driven in 37 RBIs. Getting the start for the Brewers will be Robert Gasser, who sits with a 2-0 record and an ERA of 0.82. In his last start against the Pittsburgh Pirates, he went five innings giving up six hits and one run. 

Why the Brewers Will Win

  • The Marlins have lost each of their last 12 Tuesday night home games against NL Central opponents.
  • The Brewers have won eight of their last nine road games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine night games against NL Central opponents following a home win.
  • The Brewers have covered the run line in eight of their last 10 night games against NL East opponents.
  • The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Marlins Coming Off a Key Win

The Marlins haven’t had many wins this season, but they are coming off a win on Monday. The Marlins only scored three runs, but the pitching gave up only two runs, and that led to the victory. Ryan Weathers had a strong game, going seven innings, giving up two hits and one run. The Marlins are averaging 3.85 runs, while their pitching is giving up 5.51 runs per game. The offense is ranked 24th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 29th. They have a run differential of -1.66 which is 29th in the league. Bryan De La Cruz has hit nine home runs and driven in 25 RBIs. Getting the start for the Marlins will be Trevor Rogers, who sits with a 1-5 record and an ERA of 5.79. In his last start against the Detroit Tigers, he went 3.1 innings giving up nine hits and five runs.

Why the Marlins Will Win

  • The Marlins have won five of their last six games as underdogs.
  • The Brewers have lost four of their last five games as favorites against NL East opponents.
  • The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as favorites against National League opponents following a loss.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games.
  • The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as road favorites.

Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

The Brewers are the better team, and they are going to have no issue getting the job done in this game. Gasser has been one strong this season, and he comes into this game with an ERA of 0.82. The Marlins’ offense has been a big problem all season, and they are going to really struggle to get the offense going here. The Brewers are going to have no issue running up the score here. Back the Brewers. 

Shane Mickle's Free Pick: Brewers ML

Need More? Get Premium Picks

Shane Mickle

Sports is about all Shane knows in this life! He has a passion for sports and writing, which makes working for Sportschatplace a perfect job for him! If you find him cheering for a team it's usually a Minnesota team, or the Kansas Jayhawks!

Related Articles

Back to top button