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Cleveland Guardians vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 6-18-24 Picks

Seattle Mariners (43-31) vs. Cleveland Guardians (44-25)
June 18, 2024 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Cleveland Guardians -118 / Seattle Mariners +108; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Seattle Mariners and the Cleveland Guardians meet Tuesday in MLB action from Progressive Field. Here’s a Cleveland Guardians vs Seattle Mariners prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Mariners took on the Texas Rangers over the weekend and did quite well. Seattle won all three of those matchups 3-2, 7-5 and 5-0. In the Sunday shutout win, the Mariners got 8.0 clean frames, two hits, no walks and nine Ks from starter Logan Gilbert.

For the starter gig in the Tuesday matchup the Mariners will send out Bryce Miller. This year so far Miller is 5-5 with a 3.48 ERA in 14 starts. He has 80 Ks in 82.2 innings. Miller is 13-12 with a 4.00 ERA in 39 career starts.

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

Over on the Guardians’ side, they played the Toronto Blue Jays in their weekend series. Cleveland won the first installment of that set 3-1 but then lost the next pair 5-0 and 7-6. In the Sunday loss, Guardians pitcher Ben Lively managed 4.0 innings with four earned runs on six hits and three walks.

It’ll be Triston McKenzie in the starting pitcher role for the Guardians on Tuesday. McKenzie is 3-3 with a 4.10 ERA and 65 Ks in 68.0 innings over 13 starts this year. In his career McKenzie is 21-27 with a 3.80 ERA in 81 games (77 starts).

Mariners vs Guardians Injury Notes

Mariners 2B Jorge Polanco (hamstring) started at second base in a rehab assignment Sunday. RP Gregory Santos (lat) threw a 30-pitch bullpen session over the weekend.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Mariners’ last six road games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Four of the Guardians’ last five games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last six games at Progressive Field.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four night games between the Mariners and Guardians at Progressive Field.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

  • Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last 12 night games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Josh Naylor has hit a home run in three of his last five home appearances against AL West opponents.
  • Jose Ramirez has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last eight home appearances against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Andres Gimenez has recorded at least one Double in five of the Guardians’ last six games against the Mariners.
  • Josh Naylor has recorded at least one Single in each of the Guardians’ last eight home games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Andres Gimenez has scored at least one run in each of the Guardians’ last four home games against the Mariners.
  • Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Guardians’ last eight night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

  • J.P. Crawford has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners’ last nine road games against AL opponents.
  • J.P. Crawford has recorded at least one total base in each of the Mariners’ last nine road games against AL opponents.
  • Jorge Polanco has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances against the Guardians after not playing the previous day.
  • Ty France has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances in night games.
  • Julio Rodriguez has recorded at least one Single in each of the Mariners’ last six games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • J.P. Crawford has scored at least one run in each of his last seven road appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • Jorge Polanco has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five road appearances against the Guardians after not playing the previous day.

Cleveland Guardians vs Seattle Mariners Prediction

I’ll stick with the Mariners. Miller has two great starts and one rough outing in his last three appearances. In the one bad start, Miller gave up seven earned on six hits and three walks in a no-decision versus the Royals. In the two good ones Miller posted 13.0 innings, zero earned, five hits and three walks. As for McKenzie, he’s given up 11 earned runs over his last 15.2 innings total. McKenzie’s last start wasn’t too bad, though: 5.1 innings with two earned in a win over the Reds.

Seattle scored 15 runs over three games this past weekend, which was quite an improvement over their eight runs in the three prior to that. If the Mariners can keep the bats going Tuesday they should be in good shape.

Andrew's Free Pick: Seattle Mariners +108

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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