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Colorado Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 7-3-24 Picks

Milwaukee Brewers (51-35) vs. Colorado Rockies (29-56)
July 3, 2024 8:40 pm EDT
The Line: Colorado Rockies +135 / Milwaukee Brewers -155; Over/Under: +11.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Colorado Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, July 3rd at Coors Field in Denver, Colorado. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series. 

Rockies are Trying to Build Some Momentum 

The Colorado Rockies are 29-56 this year and they have won two of their last three games. Colorado won game one in this series by a score of 8-7 on Monday, but they blew a lead and lost game two. Prior to this series, the Rockies lost two out of three against the White Sox, lost both games against the Astros, and lost two out of three against the Nationals. Colorado is 2-6 in their last eight games and they are last in the NL West. 

The Colorado pitching staff has a 5.59 ERA, a 1.54 WHIP, and a .289 opponent batting average this season. The Rockies offense has scored 361 runs with a .244 batting average and a .305 on base percentage. Ryan McMahon is batting .269 with 14 home runs and 43 RBI’s for the Rockies this season. Colorado has allowed at least four runs in seven straight games. 

Brewers Looking to Start Another Streak 

The Milwaukee Brewers are 51-35 this season and they have won two of their last three games. Milwaukee dropped the first game in this series, but they did win game two by a score of 4-3 on Tuesday. Prior to this series, the Brewers won two out of three against the Cubs, swept the Rangers, and lost three out of four against the Padres. Milwaukee is 7-2 in their last nine games and they are leading the NL Central standings. 

The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.74 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .239 opponent batting average. The Brewers offense has scored 416 runs with a .258 batting average and a .333 on base percentage. Willy Adames is batting .239 with 13 home runs and 56 RBI’s for the Brewers this season. Milwaukee has scored at least six runs in five of their last nine games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Colorado is Dakota Hudson, who is 2-11 with a 5.84 ERA and a 1.62 WHIP over 81.2 innings pitched this year. Hudson has allowed at least three earned runs in four of his last five outings. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Colin Rea, who is 7-2 with a 3.61 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 87.1 innings pitched this season. Rea has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings. 

Why the Brewers will beat the Rockies

  • The Rockies have lost five of their last six games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Brewers have won four of their last five night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four night games following a loss.
  • The Brewers have covered the run line in 10 of their last 12 night games following a road win.
  • The Rockies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven Wednesday night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Eight of the Rockies’ last nine night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Brewers’ last six road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rockies’ last six games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last five road games.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

  • Dakota Hudson has recorded four or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances at Coors Field against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Elias Diaz has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last seven Wednesday appearances.
  • Ryan McMahon has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight home appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Ryan McMahon has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Kris Bryant has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances at Coors Field against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jacob Stallings has recorded at least one total base in each of his 12 previous appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Jacob Stallings has recorded at least one hit in each of his 12 previous appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Brenton Doyle ranks T9th in the league in Steals (20) this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

  • Willy Adames has recorded two or more hits in each of the Brewers’ last five road games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Brewers’ last eight night games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Willy Adames has recorded at least one Single in each of the Brewers’ last seven road games.
  • Willy Adames has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his last eight appearances in night games against NL West teams that held a losing record.
  • Christian Yelich has scored at least one run in eight of the Brewers’ last nine night games.
  • Gary Sanchez has hit at least one home run in six of his 18 previous appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL West opponents.
  • Brice Turang ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (28) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Colorado Rockies rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (5.59).
  • The Colorado Rockies rank 30th in the league for strikeouts this season (557).
  • The Milwaukee Brewers rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.333).
  • The Milwaukee Brewers rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (120).

Colorado Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 

The Brewers were able to erase a late deficit on Tuesday night to get the win in game two of this series, but they are just 24-22 on the road this season. Milwaukee is leading the NL Central by a good margin over the Cardinals, but their strength is definitely not on the road. Colorado has been awful for the good majority of the season, but they are 17-25 at home and they have played well in their last three games. Hudson started the season pitching decently well for the Rockies, but he has been roughed up in recent outings. I know the Brewers are a different team on the road, but I can’t back Hudson here. My Colorado Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers prediction is for the Brewers to win by at least two runs. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Brewers -1.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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