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Colorado Rockies vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 5-26-24 Picks

Philadelphia Phillies (38-15) vs. Colorado Rockies (17-34)
May 26, 2024 3:10 pm EDT
The Line: Colorado Rockies +190 / Philadelphia Phillies -225; Over/Under: +9.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Colorado Rockies vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 26th at Coors Field in Denver, Colorado. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series. 

Colorado Trying to Build on Home Success 

The Colorado Rockies are 17-34 this season and they have lost six of their last eight games. Colorado won game one in this series by a score of 3-2, but gave up eight runs in the loss on Saturday. Prior to this series, the Rockies lost two out of three against Oakland, were swept against the Giants, and swept the Padres in three games. Colorado is 5-1 in their last six home games, but they remain dead last in the NL West. 

The Colorado pitching staff has a 5.24 ERA, a 1.54 WHIP, and a .280 opponent batting average. The Rockies offense has scored 206 runs with a .247 batting average and a .306 on base percentage. Ryan McMahon is batting .293 with nine home runs and 30 RBI’s for the Rockies this season. Colorado is last in the MLB in team ERA and they have allowed at least four runs in six of their last eight games. 

Phillies Try to Start New Streak 

The Philadelphia Phillies are 38-15 this year and they have won seven of their last eight games. Philadelphia won game two by a score of 8-4, but they lost game one by a score of 3-2, which snapped their six game winning streak. Prior to this series, the Phillies swept the Rangers in three games, swept the Nationals in three games, and won three out of four against the Mets. Philadelphia has won 19 of their last 23 games and they are leading the NL East by seven games over the Braves. 

The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.11 ERA, a 1.16 WHIP, and a .224 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 287 runs with a .260 batting average and a .337 on base percentage. Bryce Harper is batting .282 with 13 home runs and 41 RBI’s for the Phillies this season. Philadelphia is second in the MLB in team ERA and they are first in runs scored, as they have scored at least four runs in 14 of their last 15 games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Colorado is Cal Quantrill, who is 3-3 with a 3.59 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 57.2 innings pitched this year. Quantrill has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts, but did allow six earned runs against Houston five starts ago. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Ranger Suarez, who is 9-0 with a 1.36 ERA and a 0.79 WHIP over 66.0 innings pitched this season. Suarez has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five starts and has allowed just one earned run in his last three starts (19.0 IP). 

Why the Colorado Rockies will win

The Rockies have won nine of their last 10 home games against the Phillies following a loss.
The Phillies have lost seven of their last eight games at Coors Field following a road win.
The Rockies have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games against the Phillies following a home loss.
The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five day games against the Rockies at Coors Field following a win.
The Rockies have led after 5 innings in each of their last five day games against the Phillies at Coors Field.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

The Rockies have lost 12 of their last 13 games against NL East opponents.
The Phillies have won each of their last six day games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
The Phillies have covered the run line each of their last four day games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against National League opponents.
The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

Eight of the Rockies’ last 10 games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Six of the Phillies’ last eight road games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rockies’ last three day games.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last three day games.

Matchup/League Facts

The Colorado Rockies rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (5.24).
The Colorado Rockies rank 30th in the league for strikeouts this season (336).
The Philadelphia Phillies rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (287).
The Philadelphia Phillies rank 1st in the league for RBI’s this season (273).

Colorado Rockies vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 

Philadelphia has been one of the best teams in the MLB through 53 games this season and they are absolutely running away with the NL East. The Phillies have been great offensively and with their pitching, and they will turn to Ranger Suarez here. Suarez has been dominant this season and should have very little issue with this weak Colorado lineup. The Rockies have played slightly better over the last few weeks and they will start Quantrill, who has been great in his last four starts. I know we are in Colorado, but these two starting pitchers have been excellent recently. My Colorado Rockies vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction is for this game to stay under the total. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Under 9.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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