Cubs vs Mets Prediction 6/23/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Cubs vs Mets Prediction for this MLB matchup on Tuesday, June 23^rd in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

New York Mets Preview

The New York Mets have a 34-43 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL East. They have a 18-18 home record and are coming off a 6-2 road defeat against the Phillies. They will face the Phillies and the Blue Jays next.

The Mets have a .232 batting average this season, .297 OBP and .372 Slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 4.08 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Juan Soto is the team’s best hitter with a .301 batting average, also adding a team-high 17 home runs. Bo Bichette leads the team in RBI with 42.

Kodai Senga (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets, and he has a 0-5 record, 9.00 ERA and 1.88 WHIP.

Chicago Cubs Preview

The Chicago Cubs have a 40-37 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the NL Central. They have a 17-20 road record and are coming off an 8-6 home defeat against the Blue Jays. They will face the Brewers and the Padres next.

The Cubs have a .244 batting average this season, .337 OBP and .401 Slugging percentage. Chicago’s pitching staff has a 4.28 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Pete Crow-Armstrong is the team’s best hitter with a .286 batting average. Michael Busch leads the team in RBI with 42, while Ian Happ adds a team-high 16 home runs.

Edward Cabrera (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Cubs, and he has a 4-4 record, 5.21 ERA and 1.40 WHIP.

The Chicago Cubs @ New York Mets Betting Trends: June 23, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Kodai Senga      Record this season: 0-5      ERA: 9.00
• Home Record: 0-2
• Last 5 against Cubs: 1-2

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won each of their last seven night games against the Cubs following a loss.
• The Cubs have lost each of their last five road games against National League opponents following a home loss.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last seven night games against the Cubs following a loss.
• The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven road games following a home loss.
• The Cubs have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven Tuesday games.
• The Mets have won the first inning in three of their last four home games.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Edward Cabrera      Record this season: 4-4      ERA: 5.21
• Road Record: 2-1
• Last 5 against Mets: 2-0

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

• The Cubs have won each of their last eight games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have lost six of their last nine games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 home games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• The Cubs have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mets have lost the first inning in four of their last five night games.
• The Cubs have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games.
• The Cubs have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Cubs’ last 10 night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Three of the last four games between the Cubs and Mets at Citi Field have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Mets’ last seven night games.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Cubs’ last nine games against NL East opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Brett Baty has hit at least one home run in each of his last three appearances with the Mets as favorites against the Cubs.
• Kodai Senga has recorded five or more strikeouts in nine of his last 10 appearances with the Mets as favorites against NL Central opponents.
• Luis Robert has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL Central opponents.
• Juan Soto ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.575) this season.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• Seiya Suzuki has hit a home run in each of the Cubs’ last three games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Edward Cabrera has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last six road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Alex Bregman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Cubs as road underdogs.
• Edward Cabrera has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Pete Crow-Armstrong is one of only two players to record 10+ Home Runs and 4+ Triples this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mets rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (95).
• The Mets rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.297).
• The Cubs rank 1st in the league for walks this season (338).
• The Cubs rank 29th in the league for home runs allowed this season (113).

Cubs vs Mets Prediction

The Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against the Mets but have lost two of their last three visits in New York.

In this Cubs vs Mets Prediction, the Mets are coming as -125 home favorites. I don’t trust either pitcher in this matchup, as they both game a combined 14.21 ERA, with Cabrera struggling mightily lately with a 10.12 ERA across his last three starts. Both pitchers struggled in their only start against the other team this season, as Cabrera gave up 3 runs and Senga 6, so I expect a high-scoring affair today as both teams are also 6-1 to the over in their last 7 games combined. Take the over 8 in this one.