Cubs vs Rays Prediction 4/7/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Cubs vs Rays Prediction for this MLB matchup on Tuesday, April 7^th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Tampa Bay Rays Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays have a 5-5 record this season and are sitting in the second place of the AL East. They have a 1-0 home record and are coming off a 6-4 home win against the Cubs. Their previous three games were a 4-1 road win, a 7-1 road win, and a 4-10 road loss against the Twins.

The Rays have a .266 batting average this season, .338 OBP and .412 Slugging percentage. Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has a 4.64 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. Yandy Diaz is the team’s best hitter with a .415 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 10 and adding a team-high 2 home runs.

Drew Rasmussen (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rays, and he has a 0-0 record, 1.80 ERA and 0.70 WHIP.

Chicago Cubs Preview

The Chicago Cubs have a 4-6 record this season and are sitting in the last place of the NL Central. They have a 1-3 road record and are coming off a 4-6 road loss against the Rays. Their previous three games were a 5-6 road loss, a 1-0 road win, and a 1-4 road loss against the Guardians.

The Cubs have a .199 batting average this season, .297 OBP and .331 Slugging percentage. Chicago’s pitching staff has a 3.72 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. Nico Hoerner is the team’s best hitter with a .273 batting average. Ian Happ leads the team in RBI with 7, also adding a team-high 4 home runs.

Javier Assad (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Cubs and last season he had a 4-1 record, 3.65 ERA and 1.22 WHIP.

The Chicago Cubs @ Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends: April 7, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Drew Rasmussen      Record this season: 0-0      ERA: 1.80
• Home Record: 0-0
• Last 5 against Cubs: 0-0

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The Rays have won each of their last six games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Cubs have lost 10 of their last 11 road games.
• The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven road games.
• The Rays have covered the run line each of their last six games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Rays have won the first inning in each of their last five night games against National League opponents.
• The Rays have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Cubs have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven games as road underdogs.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Javier Assad      Record this season: –      ERA: –
• Road Record: –
• Last 5 against Rays: 1-0

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

• The Rays have lost five of their last six games as home favorites.
• The Cubs have won 10 of their last 14 games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a loss.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in 11 of the Rays’ last 12 games at Tropicana Field.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against National League opponents following a home win.
• The Cubs have led after 5 innings in four of their last five night games against American League opponents.
• The Cubs have led after 3 innings in four of their last five night games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Rays’ last six games as favorites against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Cubs’ last seven night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rays’ last 10 games at Tropicana Field.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cubs’ last six games.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in five of his last 11 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Drew Rasmussen has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded two hits in each of the Rays’ last three games as home favorites.
• Drew Rasmussen has recorded five or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Yandy Diaz ranks T3rd in the league in Hits (15) this season.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• Seiya Suzuki has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances in night games.
• Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one hit in 14 of his last 15 appearances.
• Nico Hoerner ranks T2nd in the league in Steals (4) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rays rank T3rd in the league for strikeouts against this season (69).
• The Rays rank T5th in the league for triples this season (2).
• The Cubs rank 29th in the league for hits this season (59).
• The Cubs rank T3rd in the league for hits allowed this season (59).

Cubs vs Rays Prediction

Both teams are tied 5-5 in their last 10 meetings but the Rays are 3-1 in their last 4 head-to-head meetings in Tampa.

In this Cubs vs Rays Prediction, the Rays are coming as -135 home favorites. The Rays have the pitching advantage, as Drew Rasmussen has just two earned runs in his two starts this season, while Assad will make his season debut and was far weaker on the road last season. The Rays have a better offense and are even better against right-handed pitching and have also been in good form with three straight wins with a combined 17-6 score. On the flip side, the Cubs have 12 earned runs in their last two games, so give me the Rays on the moneyline in this one.