Cubs vs Twins Prediction 7/9/25 MLB Picks Today

The Chicago Cubs are visiting the Minnesota Twins on Wednesday, July 9^th at the Target Field in the second game of this series, with the Twins having the 1-0 lead. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Cubs vs Twins Prediction. We will examine:

The Minnesota Twins recent form and player performance

The Chicago Cubs recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Minnesota Twins

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Chicago Cubs

Recent betting trends in games played between the Chicago Cubs vs Minnesota Twins

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Chicago Cubs vs Minnesota Twins game

Minnesota Twins Preview

The Minnesota Twins have a 44-47 record this season and are sitting on the third place of the AL Central. The Twins have a 25-18 home record and are 39-45 in over/under. They are coming off an 8-1 home victory over the Cubs, and are 3-1 in their last 4 games. Under is 5-2-1 in their last 8 games and are playing the Pirates and the Rockies next.

The Twins have a .240 batting average this season, .309 OBP and .395 Slugging percentage. Minnesota’s pitching staff has a 4.12 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Trevor Larnach leads the Twins with 80 hits, while Byron Buxton adds a team-high 53 RBI, 20 home runs, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .270 batting average.

David Festa (R) will take the mound for the Twins, and he has a 2-3 record, 5.48 ERA and 1.36 WHIP.

Chicago Cubs Preview

The Chicago Cubs have a 54-37 record this season and are sitting on the first place of the NL Central. The Cubs have a 24-21 road record and are 46-36 in over/under. They are coming off a 1-8 road defeat by the Twins, and are 5-2 in their last 7 games. Over is 6-3-1 in their last 10 games, and are playing the Yankees and the Red Sox next.

The Cubs have a .257 batting average this season, .327 OBP and .450 Slugging percentage. Chicago’s pitching staff has a 3.83 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Kyle Tucker leads the Cubs with 96 hits while Michael Buschis the team’s best hitter with a .297 batting average. Seiya Suzuki leads the team in RBI, with 77, adding a team-high 25 home runs.

Cade Horton (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Cubs, and he has a 3-2 record, 4.15 ERA and 1.38 WHIP.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Twins have won each of their last five games as underdogs following a home win.
• The Cubs have lost six of their last seven road games against AL Central opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Twins’ last seven games.
• The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Cubs have lost the first inning in each of their last three games against opponents that held a winning record at Target Field.
• The Cubs have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games at Target Field.
• The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against the Cubs at Target Field.

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

• The Cubs have won each of their last nine games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a loss.
• The Twins have lost each of their last five home games against NL Central opponents following a win.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games after playing the previous day.
• The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a loss.
• The Cubs have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games as road favorites against American League opponents.
• The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six home games against NL Central opponents.
• The Cubs have won the first inning in three of their last four games as road favorites against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Cubs’ last six road games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Twins’ last four night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Cubs’ last 11 night games against AL Central opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Twins’ last seven night games at Target Field.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Twins rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (239).
• The Twins rank 26th in the league for walks this season (263).
• The Cubs rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (493).
• The Cubs rank 2nd in the league for RBIs this season (482).

Cubs vs Twins Prediction

The Twins are 4-2 in their last 6 overall meetings against the Cubs, and have won their last three meetings in Minnesota. Over is 7-1-1 in their last 9 meetings.

In this Cubs vs Twins Prediction, the Cubs are coming as -130 road favorites. The Cubs have a better overall record, but both teams have similar home/away records. Both pitchers have been shaky this season, with a combined 9.63 ERA, and Horton has been even weaker on the road for the Cubs with a 6.08 road ERA. The Cubs have the best offense in the whole league, and both teams are even better against lefties, averaging 10.2 runs per game combined. Take the over 9 in this one.