Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros Prediction 6/26/26 MLB Picks Today

The Houston Astros and the Detroit Tigers meet Friday in MLB action from Comerica Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Houston Astros will send out Spencer Arrighetti for the start and Arrighetti is 7-3 with a 3.13 ERA and 68 strikeouts this season. Keider Montero will start for Detroit and is 3-5 with a 3.68 ERA and 53 strikeouts this season.

Houston Astros Recap

The Houston Astros come into this game looking to add on to their 2-1 win over the Tigers from Thursday to sit at 40-43 this season. After this series, the Astros will head home for a series against the Minnesota Twins.

Astros Win 7 Of Last 9

Entering Thursday, Yordan Alvarez has 94 hits with 16 doubles, 25 home runs and 56 RBIs while Christian Walker has 70 hits with 14 doubles, 18 home runs and 52 RBIs on the year. Jose Altuve’s chipped in 54 hits with 12 doubles, 8 home runs and 21 RBIs and Isaac Paredes has 67 hits with 15 doubles, 10 home runs and 40 RBIs. Cam Smith also has 59 hits with 12 doubles, 8 home runs and 28 RBIs.

Detroit Tigers Recap

The Detroit Tigers come into this game looking to shake off their loss at the hands of Houston on Thursday to sit at 34-47 on the year. fter this series, the Tigers will head on the road for a series against the New York Yankees.

Tigers Lose 3 In A Row

Going into Thursday, Riley Greene has 83 hits with 16 doubles, 9 home runs and 34 RBIs while Kevin McGonigle has 82 hits with 18 doubles, 3 triples, 6 home runs and 28 RBIs. Spencer Torkelson’s added 56 hits with 17 doubles, 12 home runs and 31 RBIs and Dillon Dingler has 73 hits with 15 doubles, 18 home runs and 56 RBIs this season. Colt Keith’s added 54 hits with 8 doubles and 17 RBIs and Matt Vierling has 40 hits with 11 doubles, 5 home runs and 27 RBIs.

Houston Astros @ Detroit Tigers Betting Trends: June 26, 2026

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Keider Montero      Record this season: 3-5      ERA: 3.68
• Home Record: 3-3
• Last 5 against Astros: 0-1

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The Tigers have won six of their last seven home games against AL West opponents following a home loss.
• The Astros have lost three of their last four games at Comerica Park.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in three of their last four night games against AL West opponents following a loss.
• The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six night games against AL Central opponents.
• The Tigers have led after 5 innings in five of their last six night games at Comerica Park against AL West opponents.

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Spencer Arrighetti      Record this season: 7-3      ERA: 3.13
• Road Record: 4-2
• Last 5 against Tigers: 0-2

Why the Houston Astros will win

• The Astros have won each of their last three games as underdogs.
• The Tigers have lost 10 of their last 11 night games following a home loss.
• The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last 16 Friday games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven Friday games as home favorites against AL West opponents.
• The Astros have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games at Comerica Park against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Astros have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games at Comerica Park against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Tigers’ last six night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Astros’ last five games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Astros’ last eight games at Comerica Park.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the last five night games between the Astros and Tigers at Comerica Park.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Dillon Dingler has hit a home run in three of the Tigers’ last four games as favorites.
• Keider Montero has recorded four or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Hao-Yu Lee has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in night games.
• Dillon Dingler ranks 8th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.543) this season.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Spencer Arrighetti has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances with the Astros as underdogs against AL opponents.
• Spencer Arrighetti has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances.
• Yainer Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Taylor Trammell has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances.
• Yordan Alvarez ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.625) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Tigers rank 29th in the league for steals this season (27).
• The Tigers rank T4th in the league for triples this season (16).
• The Astros rank 29th in the league for walks allowed this season (358).
• The Astros rank T28th in the league for triples this season (6).

Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers Prediction

I’m backing the Tigers here. Houston was able to hold down the Tigers on Thursday, but as well as Spencer Arrighetti has pitched at times this season, he’s starting to regress over recent starts and I think the Tigers get to him here. On the flipside, Keider Montero is someone I have concerns about as well, but I think that Houston has issues getting to him and in the end I still trust Detroit more here so give me the Tigers.