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Detroit Tigers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 6-26-24 Picks

Philadelphia Phillies (52-27) vs. Detroit Tigers (37-42)
June 26, 2024 1:10 pm EDT
The Line: Detroit Tigers +149 / Philadelphia Phillies -179; Over/Under: +9
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Detroit Tigers vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, June 26th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series. 

Tigers Looking for a Rare Winning Streak 

The Detroit Tigers are 37-42 this year and they have lost six of their last nine games. Detroit only scored one run in game one of this series, but they won game two by a score of 4-1 on Tuesday. Prior to this series, the Tigers won two out of three against the White Sox, lost all three against the Braves, and lost two out of three against the Astros. Detroit has not won back to back games since June 4th against the Texas Rangers. 

The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.81 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Tigers offense has scored 325 runs with a .232 batting average and a .298 on base percentage. Riley Greene is batting .260 with 15 home runs and 41 RBI’s for the Tigers this season. Detroit has scored one run or fewer in six of their last nine games. 

Phillies Going for Third Straight Series Win 

The Philadelphia Phillies are 52-27 this season and they have won three of their last four games. Philadelphia won game one in this series by a score of 8-1 on Monday, but they lost game two. Prior to this series, the Phillies won two out of three against the Diamondbacks, won two out of three against the Padres, and lost two out of three against the Orioles. Philadelphia is 5-3 in their last eight games and they are leading the NL East over the Braves. 

The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.08 ERA, a 1.13 WHIP, and a .225 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 399 runs with a .258 batting average and a .332 on base percentage. Bryce Harper is batting .306 with 20 home runs and 57 RBI’s for the Phillies this season. Philadelphia has scored at least four runs in four of their last five games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Keider Montero, who is 0-1 with an 8.31 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 4.1 innings pitched this season. Montero allowed four earned runs and five hits over 4.1 innings against the Pirates in late May. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Spencer Turnbull, who is 3-0 with a 2.63 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP over 51.1 innings pitched this year. Turnbull has allowed three earned runs in his last five appearances, all of which came in relief. 

Why the Phillies will beat the Tigers

  • The Tigers have lost each of their last six games following a win.
  • The Phillies have won nine of their last 10 day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games following a win.
  • The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last eight Wednesday games against AL Central opponents.
  • The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven Wednesday day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Tigers’ last four day games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Three of the Phillies’ last four games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last six day games against AL Central opponents.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

  • Andy Ibanez has scored at least one run in each of his last four home appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Andy Ibanez has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Riley Greene has recorded at least one total base in each of his 11 previous appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Riley Greene has recorded at least one hit in each of his 11 previous appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Matt Vierling has hit a home run in four of the Tigers’ last five Wednesday games at Comerica Park.
  • Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Phillies’ last eight day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
  • Bryce Harper has scored at least one run in 10 of the Phillies’ last 11 games.
  • Bryce Harper has recorded at least one Double in each of the Phillies’ last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Whit Merrifield has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances against the Tigers.
  • Bryce Harper has recorded at least one total base in each of the Phillies’ last 10 games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Bryce Harper has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 10 games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Bryce Harper has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last four games.

Detroit Tigers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 

Detroit comes into this game looking for their second straight series win and a very rare two game winning streak, but they are just 19-21 at home and are facing one of the best teams in baseball. Philadelphia struggled to get anything going on Tuesday against Skubal, but they should bounce back nicely against Montero here. The Phillies are going with Turnbull, who pitched in Detroit for a few years, so the Tigers should know at least some of his tendencies. I don’t love this pitching matchup, but I can’t trust the Tigers to score more than two runs in back to back games. My Detroit Tigers vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction is for Philadelphia to get the win. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Phillies ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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