Diamondbacks vs Mets Prediction 5/7/25 MLB Picks Today

The New York Mets and Arizona Diamondbacks meet Wednesday in MLB action at Chase Field. Here’s a Diamondbacks vs Mets Prediction. This article will include a Diamondbacks vs Mets Pick.

New York Mets Betting Preview

The New York Mets are 23-14 on the year and play the Cubs, Pirates, and Yankees next. The New York Mets are batting .250 on the season, have a .333 OBP, and a .416 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 2.94 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. Pete Alonso leads the New York Mets with 45 hits and 34 RBI, while Francisco Lindor and Juan Soto have combined for 75 hits and 36 RBI.

Kodai Senga gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 3-2 with a 1.38 ERA and 31 strikeouts this season. Senga is 2-1 with a 1.00 ERA and 28 strikeouts in his career against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 19-17 on the year and play the Dodgers, Giants, and Rockies next. The Arizona Diamondbacks are batting .248 on the season, have a .332 OBP, and a .430 slugging percentage. The Arizona Diamondbacks pitching staff has a 4.40 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Corbin Carroll leads the Arizona Diamondbacks with 44 hits and 27 RBI, while Josh Naylor and Geraldo Perdomo have combined for 76 hits and 53 RBI.

Merrill Kelly gets the ball for the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he is 3-1 with a 4.06 ERA and 27 strikeouts this season. Kelly is 1-4 with a 5.23 ERA and 34 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

• The Diamondbacks have won each of their last 11 Wednesday games against National League opponents.
• The Mets have lost three of their last four games as favorites.
• The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last four day games against National League opponents.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four games.
• The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in each of their last seven Wednesday day games.

Why the New York Mets will win

• The Mets have won each of their last seven road games against NL West opponents following a loss.
• The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last seven home games against the Mets following a win.
• The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last seven road games against NL West opponents following a road loss.
• The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against the Mets following a home win.
• The Diamondbacks have lost the first inning in three of their last four day games against opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games as road favorites against NL West opponents.
• The Diamondbacks have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five home games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts

• Ketel Marte has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
• Josh Naylor has recorded at least one Double in three of the Diamondbacks’ last four games as home underdogs.
• Merrill Kelly has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Josh Naylor has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances with his team as a home underdog against NL opponents.
• Merrill Kelly has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his five previous appearances against the Mets.
• Corbin Carroll has recorded a Single in each of the Diamondbacks’ last five home games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Corbin Carroll has scored at least one run in each of the Diamondbacks’ last eight Wednesday games at Chase Field.
• Corbin Carroll has recorded at least one hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last nine games as home underdogs.
• Corbin Carroll ranks T4th in the league in Home Runs (10) this season.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

• Tyrone Taylor has recorded a Double in three of the Mets’ last four games as road favorites against NL West opponents.
• Pete Alonso has hit a home run in four of the Mets’ last six road games against the Diamondbacks.
• Tyrone Taylor has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL West opponents.
• Pete Alonso has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mets’ last six road games against the Diamondbacks.
• Pete Alonso has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Mets’ last eight games as favorites.
• Kodai Senga has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances with the Mets as road favorites against NL opponents.
• Pete Alonso has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last nine day games.
• Pete Alonso ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.659) this season.

Diamondbacks vs Mets Prediction

You can make a case for the Diamondbacks and the plus money as they’re at home with the quick turnaround, and they’re playing the better ball this week. However, the Mets are the better team overall, and they’re kind of due for a bounce-back effort. Senga is also dealing right now, allowing 26 hits and five earned runs in his last 32.2 innings. Senga has allowed a combined three runs in his last five starts. Kelly has been hittable this season with a 4.06 ERA and 12 walks. We’re getting the better team with the better pitcher. Give me the Mets and the cheap price.