Diamondbacks vs Orioles Prediction 4/9/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Diamondbacks vs Orioles Prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, April 9th, at Chase Field. Let’s take a look at an Arizona Diamondbacks vs Baltimore Orioles pick. 

Orioles Fell Short

The Orioles jumped out to a 2-0 lead in the first inning on Tuesday, but they scored only one run the rest of the game, and that led to the defeat. One issue was the pitching of Charlie Morton, who went five innings, giving up four hits and four runs. He had five walks, and that type of inconsistent pitching can’t happen again. 

The Orioles are averaging 4.73 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.36 runs per game. The pitching, especially at times, has been inconsistent, and it’s something they really need to be leaned on more. Getting the start for the Orioles will be Dean Kremer, who sits with a 1-1 record and an ERA of 6.52. Against the Royals in his last start, he went 4.1 innings, giving up eight hits and three runs. 

Why the Orioles Will Beat the Diamondbacks

• The Orioles have won each of their last six games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last four games as home favorites following a win.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games at Chase Field following a home win.
• The Orioles have led after 5 innings in three of their last four day games against National League opponents.
• The Orioles have won the first inning in each of their last three games against opponents that held a winning record at Chase Field.

Can Diamondbacks Move Above .500?

The Diamondbacks are going to look to move above .500 with a victory in this game, after their win on Tuesday. Corbin Carroll had another strong game, hitting a home run and finishing with two hits and two runs scored also. On Monday, the Orioles scored only one run, and although the stats have been impressive, they have been really impressive with their offense the last few games. 

The Diamondbacks are averaging 5.36 runs per game, while their pitching is giving up 5.09 runs per game. The offense is ranked 5th, but the pitching just hasn’t been good enough. Brandon Pfaadt will get the start for the Diamondbacks. He has a 1-1 record and an ERA of 5.25. Against the Washington Nationals, he went six innings, giving up six hits and four runs. 

Total Runs Facts

• Six of the Diamondbacks’ last seven day games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Orioles’ last five road games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last four games as favorites.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Orioles’ last seven road games.

Diamondbacks vs Orioles Prediction

Give me the value with the Orioles here as the underdogs. Do I trust Kremer? Not exactly, but want to know whom I trust less? Pfaadt. He comes into this game with an ERA of 525, and in his last start, he seemed to be playing with fire the entire game. In this game, the Orioles are going to take advantage, and they are going to go over their season average of 4.73. The Diamondbacks will score some, but they aren’t going to score enough to come out on top. Back the Orioles on the money line.